Bota2024-06-15 21:43:00

What is behind Putin's proposal for peace?

Shkruar nga Pamfleti

What is behind Putin's proposal for peace?

The old and reliable rule is that the Tsar is scary especially when he acts nice and talks about peace...

Big international politics is a kind of theater. And Vladimir Putin is an important actor. So, between the G7 in Italy and the pseudo-peace conference on Ukraine in Switzerland, he pulled a peace proposal out of a hat. "Not to freeze the war, but to end it forever," he says.

But it doesn't take long to realize that it is something completely different. The old and reliable rule is that the Tsar is scary especially when he acts loving or talks about peace and harmony. In fact, what does his proposal entail?

▪️Ukrainian troops should be fully withdrawn from Donetsk and Luhansk regions, Kherson region and Zaporozhye region, across the administrative borders.

▪️ Once the actual withdrawal of Ukrainian troops begins and Kiev announces its intention to abandon NATO membership, Moscow will order a cease-fire and start negotiations. At the same time, Russia ensures the safe and unimpeded withdrawal of Ukrainian units and formations.

▪️Agreements for a peaceful solution should be established through international treaties. Of course, the lifting of sanctions against Russia is also expected.

As you can see, it is not a proposal for negotiations, but an intimation of surrender. Designed, it seems to us, to be the exact opposite of Zelensky's so-called "10-point plan," which basically tells the Russians to give up Crimea and all occupied territories, pay for all damages caused to Ukraine and leave forever.

Putin is not so stupid as not to realize that his "peace plan" has no chance not only of being welcomed, but of consideration. So we have to read between the lines, because his outburst contains some accurate messages anyway.

The first is: we are winning, if you want to end the war, you must stay on our terms. Whether a Russian victory is imminent or not, this is the message the Kremlin wants to convey. Three days ago, after the meeting with the military commanders operating on the Ukrainian front, Putin declared that everything is going well, that only good news comes from the front and that all the objectives of the war will be achieved. Like a good, magnanimous leader, he added: "We could go faster, of course, but the lives of soldiers are more important than the time of the operation."

The second message, clearly sent to the leaders of the countries that support Kiev: we are interested in Eastern Ukraine, not all of Ukraine. Specifically, the regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporozhye. Are you convinced that, for so little, it is worth continuing a war that you will lose anyway and that may cost you the destruction of the Ukraine you say you want to save?

The third message lies in what is not said. That is, Odessa is never mentioned, the port that the Russians cannot capture (and from where, indeed, they suffered heavy blows that crippled the Black Sea fleet) and which is also necessary for the realization of their Novorossiya project. Is this what Putin is willing to give in exchange for everything he would like to receive? / Adapted "Pamphlet" from "Inside Over"