FLASH
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The tycoon is the only president the regime fears
"Strong opportunities." Just two words, but perhaps enough to stop the massacre of demonstrators and push the Iranian regime to seek negotiations. Donald Trump may have made the difference this time too.
The Iranian regime has learned the hard way that Donald is no laughing matter. The tycoon’s first harsh lesson dates back to January 3, 2020, when an American drone incinerated General Qasem Soleimani shortly after he landed at Baghdad airport. An unprecedented operation that no American president since Carter has dared to carry out. But more important than the attack itself are the consequences.
The elimination of Soleimani, the mastermind and mastermind behind the Islamic Republic's strategies in the Middle East, paved the way for a major political-military crisis for the Iranian regime. With the elimination of the commander of the Quds Force, the IRGC unit responsible for covert operations abroad, the penetration of Tehran's structures by Israeli intelligence and the CIA became more widespread and deeper.
The elimination of scientists and nuclear project managers was exacerbated by the progressive weakening of the regime's closest allies, from Hamas to Hezbollah, from Bashar al-Assad to Iraqi militias.
The domino effect caused by the general's elimination became apparent during and after the October 7 massacres. Soleimani, accustomed to carefully assessing the consequences of attacks on Israel, might not have given the green light to the Hamas operation. And above all, he would have kept a much more vigilant watch over the fate of his allies.
From that of Ismail Haniyeh, the political leader of Hamas, assassinated in the heart of Tehran in July 2024, to that of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, surprised by Israeli bombs in one of his underground shelters. Of course, with Soleimani still alive, it would have been extremely difficult to overthrow Bashar Assad from Syria, which the Iranian general had seized from the Sunni uprising and transformed into a supply corridor for Hezbollah and Hamas.
In this progressive catastrophe, one thing is very clear for the Iranians. Under Obama and his predecessors, they had a free hand from Iraq to Syria and from Gaza to Yemen. With Donald Trump in the White House, their freedom of action has been progressively neutralized. And along with Soleimani's strategies, the nuclear threat has also diminished. A threat that since the early 2000s had paralyzed the Americans and Europeans, forcing them to enter into fruitless negotiations, in the shadow of which Khamenei and his followers continued their nuclear race.
Here too, the turning point came during his first term when Trump, ignoring international criticism and condemnation, decreed the abandonment of the nuclear agreements signed by Obama's America. These agreements were immediately replaced by harsh sanctions that would trigger the economic crisis that was the origin and cause of the current uprising.
These moves culminated on June 22, when Trump sent B2 bombers to strike the bases at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, causing the first real setback to the Islamic Republic's nuclear projects. These are facts and events that Khamenei and his ayatollahs cannot forget. Once again, the risk is that of a final coup. /Adapted from Il Giornale /
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