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Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Spain has already passed the elimination stage of Euro 2024, but will Albania join them? " The Analyst ", has made a long analysis of what is expected on Monday, as it has also published a forecast of the "Opta" supercomputer.
Spain's 1-0 win over Italy not only secured their place in the knockout stages of Euro 2024, but also strengthened their chances of finishing top of Group B. They will look to win their first three games of the European Championship, repeating in 2008, when they won the tournament.
Against Albania, Luis de la Fuente may decide to make changes to the formation, resting the stars of the team.
As Spain is already the winner of the group, Pedri could be among those who will be resting in Düsseldorf. However, if the talented youngster does feature in this match, he will set a new record as one of the most capped young players at the tournament, overtaking Cristiano Ronaldo.
One player who will definitely be missing for Spain is Rodri, as he received 2 yellow cards, against Croatia and against Italy.
Albania still has a chance to qualify, having taken a point against Croatia. They scored the equalizer in the 95th minute, despite having taken the lead earlier. Albania have scored the opening goal in each of their two matches at Euro 2024, although they are yet to win (1 draw, 1 loss). No nation has ever scored the first goal in three consecutive European Championship matches and if Albania scores it sets another record.
Qazim Laçi gave Albania the lead against Croatia, then an own goal by Klaus Gjasula turned things around. Gjasula rectified the mistake by scoring late on, meaning a win over Spain would give Albania four points and a strong chance of being one of the four third-placed teams in the tournament.
Gjasula became the first player in the history of the European Championship and the World Cup to come off the bench and score a goal and an own goal. In 17 minutes at Euro 2024, Gjasula has had as many shots on goal as he has in 1,366 minutes in the German Bundesliga this season for SV Darmstadt 98.
Sylvinho's men have conceded two goals in both of their matches in Group B. They haven't conceded more than 2 goals in three consecutive games since October 2016 and June 2017.
Kristjan Asllani is likely to be a key figure if Albania are to threaten Spain's 100% record. In their two games, he leads in shots on goal (4), shots on goal (2), successful passes (91).
Albania - Spain face to face
Spain have a perfect record against Albania, winning all eight of their previous matches, scoring 31 goals and conceding just three. It is Spain's best record against any opponent.
Albania lost 9-0 to Spain in a Euro qualifier in December 1990, which remains their heaviest ever defeat.
Their last match was a friendly in March 2022, which Spain won 2-1 at home thanks to Ferran Torres and a last minute goal from Dani Olmo after Myrto Uzuni had equalized for the visitors.
Albania vs Spain Prediction
Despite already being through to the last 16 and likely to have made a few changes, supercomputer Opta still thinks Spain will have three wins. La Roja wins this match in 73.2% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.
Albania must win to have any chance of qualifying, but according to the computer, there is an 11.6% chance of a win, while the chance of a draw is 15.2%.
teams
Albania: Elhan Kastrati, Etrit Berisha, Thomas Strakosha, Ardian Ismajli, Arlind Ajeti, Berat Djimsiti, Elseid Hysaj, Enea Mihaj, Iván Balliu, Marash Kumbulla, Mario Mitaj, Naser Aliji, Amir Abrashi, Ernest Muçi, Klaus Gjasula, Kristjan Asllani, Medon Berisha, Nedim Bajrami, Qazim Laçi, Ylber Ramadani, Arbër Hoxha, Armando Broja, Jasir Asani, Mirlind Daku, Rey Manaj, Taulant Seferi.
Coach: Sylvinho
Spain: Álex Remiro, David Raya, Unai Simón, Álex Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Carvajal, Dani Vivian, Jesús Navas, Marc Cucurella, Nacho, Robin Le Normand, Álex Baena, Fabián Ruiz, Fermín Zukelín, Mi Rodri, Álvaro Morata, Ayoze Pérez, Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres, Joselu, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams.
Coach: Luis de la Fuente / Pamphlet
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