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A historian who has successfully predicted nine of the last 10 US elections believes Kamala Harris will win the keys to the White House.
Polls have suggested it will be a head-to-head race between Republican candidate Donald Trump and his Democratic opponent.
But Professor Allan Lichtman's system, called "Keys to the White House," involves completely ignoring the polls.
Instead, 13 elements on a checklist are used to test who will be the successful candidate.
"Why am I sure Harris will win? Because it's only close to the polls and my system ignores the polls," Professor Lichtman told CNN.
The professor, who correctly predicted Mr Trump's victory against Hillary Clinton in 2016, described the polls as "photographs" and said: "People don't answer pollsters, they lie, they change their minds and have to guess which voters are possible".
His system, which he developed in the early 1980s with Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, analyzes the political landscape through 13 true and false statements focused on the current president's party.
If six or more of the statements are false, then the challenger — in this case, Mr. Trump — is predicted to win.
As detailed, its system currently concludes that eight of the 13 keys favor Ms Harris - while three favor her Republican rival.
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