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Forum2024-05-04 11:22:00

"SPAK will arrest a senior politician"/ How television "experts" are deceived in 90 percent of cases

Shkruar nga Eduard Zaloshnja

"SPAK will arrest a senior politician"/ How television

So for 90 predictions by different journalists/analysts, it turned out that the people predicted to be arrested at the request of SPAK are still free.

After reading Lutfi Dervish's article "Chronicle of a Forewarned Arrest", published in several portals, I got the impulse (I got spunton, it is said in the TV studio) to do a quantitative analysis about the topic that Dervish had embroidered in a qualitative way (with irony his constantly thin). The gist of Dervish's writing: The idle predictions of journalists/analysts in TV studios about the expected SPAK arrests.

With the help of the IT specialist who carries out the technical side of the frequent polls I run, I analyzed online 100 predictions made by journalists/analysts in TV studios in recent years about expected SPAK arrests. And fully 95% of their predictions turned out to be failures – among them, 90% completely failed!

So for 90 predictions by different journalists/analysts, it turned out that the people predicted to be arrested at the request of SPAK are still free. In 5 cases, the predicted public figures were arrested or put under house arrest, but much later than the journalists/analysts in the TV studios predicted. While only 5% of predictions (made by less than 5% of forecasting journalists/analysts) were at the right time and for the right person.

NOTE: We did not analyze the predictions of politicians about the arrests of their respective opponents, because it would take us an infinite amount of time to deal with them...

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