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There would be no winners in a nuclear war. In a non-nuclear war, the Western powers would win, jeopardizing Putin's hold on power.
Fears that President Vladimir Putin will escalate his aggression if Ukraine launches Western weapons into Russian territory are overstated, says Walter C. Clemens, a fellow at the Davis Center for Russian Studies at Harvard University and a professor of political science at Boston University. in an analysis for CEPA.org
The West, Clemens says, should bluff Putin and offer more.
The professor explains in his analysis that any informed Russian understands the logic: since Russia has been attacking Ukraine for a full decade, Ukrainians have the right to retaliate.
Drones now striking targets inside Russia have caused little damage compared to that done by Russian forces in Ukraine.
If more Russians began to feel the pain resulting from their nonsensical "special military operation," perhaps more would be in favor of the country's withdrawal from Ukraine.
Many Russian families are already feeling the loss of 600,000 dead or wounded Russian soldiers, but most of them have yet to experience the costs of the war.
Second, Putin's regime has even more reason to fear escalation than NATO countries.
There would be no winners in a nuclear war. In a non-nuclear war, the Western powers would win, jeopardizing Putin's hold on power.
Third, the Kremlin now appears to have come to terms with Ukraine's occupation of Russian territory in the Kursk region — including more than 50 villages, whose residents are asking, "What happened to the funds that Moscow earmarked for our defense? "
Kremlin spokesmen explain that there are problems in the Kursk region, but Russian citizens, not state authorities, are responsible for this.
The Orthodox Church, led by Putin's close ally Patriarch Kirill, insists the Kremlin is not to blame for spreading the war on Russian soil.
Why?
Because it is the fulfillment of God's will. He allowed the defeats at Kursk to punish the Russians who allowed abortions and continued to live for themselves.
To overcome the negative trends, church members say, Russia must spend more on the purchase of military equipment, and anyone who accomplishes this must join the ranks of military conscription.
Otherwise, preachers warn, there will be new defeats.
While Putin's regime chalks up its Kursk defeats to God's will, Russian forces continue to advance in eastern Ukraine, threatening Pokrovsk and Kharkiv.
At the same time, less than half of the aid promised to Kiev by the West, including Patriot defense systems, F-16s, combat vehicles and financial support, has been delivered.
The Baltic republics and some other smaller countries are meeting their obligations, but NATO's biggest members, led by the US, are not.
Ukrainian forces, already exhausted and out of ammunition, desperately need more weapons and US permission to use them against military installations in Russia.
They can only fire one missile for every five to 10 Russian troops deployed, which also far outnumber the Ukrainian defenders.
Kiev wants to use French and British missiles with American-made components against military targets in Russia, but President Joe Biden has so far refused to allow Ukraine to fully use the weapons already in its inventory.
Recent attacks by Ukrainian-made drones on Russian weapons depots in Tver and Toropets, north of Belarus and west of Moscow, have not caused any increase in Russian violence.
For now, targeting countries inside Russia appears to help Ukraine defend itself without provoking Moscow's escalation.
The Kremlin can attribute any setback to future attacks – including those using Western weapons – to God's displeasure with the Russian people, concludes Clemens./ Danas.rs
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