Faced with a completely different political scene after the overthrow of municipal elections, Tayyip Erdogan finds himself just a year after his third election as Turkey's president.
The loss of Istanbul and two other large municipalities of the country, Ankara and Izmir, but above all the great electoral decline of the AKP party, which according to the comparative results is slightly in second place after the CHP, show that the president Erdogan is now not "untouchable".
He now faces a very strong opponent, Ekrem Imamoglu, who, despite the weaknesses and fragmentation of the opposition, managed to give Erdogan a personal political blow for the second time by winning the Istanbul Municipality. In a battle that Erdogan chose to fight himself as the head of his party, wanting to underline the importance of the Istanbul battle for the country's progress under his leadership.
The results now undermine the image of Erdogan's political hegemony and pose serious challenges to his next steps, which are the revision of the Constitution and possibly early elections to seek another term after 2028.
With the new facts, consolidated in Turkey's political scene, Erdogan will hardly be able to win a referendum on changing the Constitution and will have to look for new alliances with the parties and forces of the conservative nationalist and Islamic space. to have any hope.
This is likely to lead him to a continuation of his current policies at home and a more aggressive foreign policy, although as it turns out his "Achilles heel" was the economy as he underestimated the consequences of high inflation on the popular layers that make up electoral basis of.
The dilemmas for the Turkish leader will be many tomorrow as any deviation from the "orthodox" economic policy followed by Finance Minister Simsek to continue with benefits and pension increases would once again lead to the collapse of the Turkish economy.
And now Erdoğan finds that the "recipes" he has followed in the last 22 years to soften the opposition and also the discontent of some social layers, have already been overcome.
Map of Turkey after municipal elections - AKP is the second party after 22 years
Meanwhile, Erdogan was trying tonight to send a message of calm and that everything is under control and he is committed to his presidential duties.
The confrontation between Ekrem Imamoglu and Erdogan
The Istanbul mayor's elevation marks a breakthrough for the CHP, overcoming its traditional base to attract conservative votes, marking a significant loss for Erdogan's AK Party (AKP) in Istanbul.
Imamoglu's re-election campaign was marked by a promise to revive democracy and justice in Turkey, a country where critics argue civil liberties have been in decline under Erdogan.
Despite facing legal obstacles, including a prison sentence and political ban for allegedly insulting public officials – a charge still under appeal – Imamoglu has remained an important figure in Turkish politics. His journey from businessman and family man to potential future president has been punctuated by victories over the AKP, promising a new direction for Turkey's largest city and perhaps the country.
The opposition's latest celebration in Istanbul underscores growing discontent with the ruling party's economic policies, signaling a desire for change among Turkish voters. Imamoglu's leadership in Istanbul, his defiance of judicial pressure and his vision for a more democratic and fair Turkey have positioned him as a formidable opponent to Erdogan.
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