FLASH
Shkruar nga Paolo Rossetti
Ukraine is the territory between the 2 blocs, in the worst case scenario there will be a "Russian Ukraine", and the rest of the territory will be oriented towards the Western world. Once this division is cemented, as the division of Germany once was, the problem will end. But the war between East and West will not end, as defeat would mean jeopardizing their credibility.
The current war in Ukraine has caused a clash between two visions of the world: that of the US, unipolar, and which still sees the Americans and the West as universal guides, and that of Russia and China, which want to overthrow the United States throne and that propose a multipolar management of geopolitical affairs and influences.
Paradoxically, for Marco Bertolini, Italian general, once in charge of numerous international missions, from Afghanistan to Kosovo, the one who has the least to lose in this conflict is Kiev. If Ukraine risks giving up part of its territory, the West, led by the Americans, would see its global hegemony damaged.
For this reason both sides are constantly showing their muscles, including military exercises with nuclear weapons, even shifting attention to the military use of satellites. In short, the dangers of a world-scale conflict are more than obvious, especially now that Russia is raising some territorial claims against Finland, Lithuania and Estonia.
On the battlefield, Moscow is always ahead and is attacking strongly in the Kharkiv area, while the Ukrainians are seeking immediate help from NATO partners to have the anti-aircraft systems needed to counter Russian air superiority. At least until the American elections, they will have this help, because Biden does not have the luxury of appearing in the elections as a loser.
General, Russia recently published a document (although it has now been removed from the government website) in which it announced that it wanted to change the maritime borders with Finland and Lithuania. Meanwhile, he moved the buoys in the Narva River, which border the border with Estonia. Are they provocations dictated by the moment, or episodes that hide a serious problem?
In the Baltic Sea, there is a real problem. After the entry of Finland and Sweden into NATO, a problematic situation has been created for Russia. Admiral James Stavridis, who is now one of the top executives of the Rockefeller Foundation but was once the Supreme Allied Commander in Europe, has said that in the event of a crisis it will be necessary to neutralize the Kaliningrad base, one of the five fleets Russia, now surrounded by countries belonging to the Atlantic Alliance. For Moscow this situation is very worrying, and it could lead to something similar to what we are seeing in Ukraine.
The UK claims it has evidence of China's military support for Russia, while Beijing accuses the British of warmongering after discouraging the peace deal the two sides reached in 2022. Does the China-Russia alliance also have a military dimension?
The English are the most radical among those who are pushing for a clash with Russia. They have already said that their weapons can be used against Moscow. In fact, they are concerned about the de facto alliance between the Chinese and the Russians, strengthened by Putin's visit to China, at the end of which a document was published that defines the alliance of the two countries, the need for a multipolar world, and for an equal respect between nations regardless of the system by which they are governed.
So the opposite of what the English and Americans want, who think a world dominated by the US, which opposes democratic and totalitarian systems. The Russia-China alliance is political, but it can also become military. Great Britain, which plays its role as the spokesperson for the USA in Europe, has spoken out in the face of this whole situation. And when the English speak, things never go in the direction of peace.
The United States is evaluating whether or not to allow the use of its weapons to attack Russian territory. At the same time, the French are testing a nuclear missile, while Russia is conducting exercises for a possible nuclear war. Finally, there is also talk about the use of satellites from a military point of view. So everyone has the tendency to show their muscles. Are we preparing for the worst?
There is a clash between two opposing worldviews: The first is the unipolar one, of the US and the West in general, which cannot be lost when faced with the threat of a multipolar world. The fight will continue until one of the two visions dominates the other. All these initiatives are evidence that the two blocs cannot be defeated.
And this is also our curse. The Ukrainians may lose some territory, but the West is worried. Because if Russia imposes itself, another world wins, which proposes a currency other than the dollar for international transactions. For this reason, NATO is conducting important exercises and the Russians are testing their weapons. Maybe they will train with the Chinese as well. These are very bad signs in the context of an imminent crash.
Paradoxically, is it precisely Ukraine that has less to lose from this war than the West?
Ukraine is the territory between the 2 blocs: in the worst case scenario there will be a "Russian Ukraine", and the rest of the territory will be oriented towards the Western world. Once this division is cemented, as the division of Germany once was, the problem will end. But the war between East and West will not end, as defeat would mean jeopardizing their credibility. That is why the US supports Ukraine: its credibility in the international arena is at stake.
In Russia, the head of the army's communications, Vladimir Shamarin, has been arrested for corruption. And this is not the only event of this kind in recent weeks. Even in Russia, as in Ukraine, there seems to be a system that is not so clear in its operation...
There has been a great purge in Russia. A month ago, the deputy of the former Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, was arrested. While the latter, in turn, was replaced by Belousov. We see a similar phenomenon in Ukraine. The action taken by Putin, immediately after the formal elections, represents a turning point that leads to a fundamental change: He needs new men.
The Russians are hitting the Kharkiv area heavily, while the Ukrainians are looking for help with anti-aircraft systems. Kiev has also mobilized 3 thousand prisoners, released in order to go to the front, a sign that there is always a need for human resources. Will the West come to Ukraine's aid again, seeing that it cannot afford to be embarrassed?
The Russians are advancing, although there are no major breakthroughs in the front line. Americans fear they will arrive at the November elections with a Ukrainian defeat and a political crisis in the country. Let's not forget that Zelensky is no longer officially president since May 20.
He remains in office only thanks to a provision of the Constitution, according to which people cannot vote in times of war. This is a sign of weakness, because Putin held elections in Russia. The USA must continue the war until the election: this justifies the approved 60 billion, the discussion of the use of American weapons to attack Russia, and the sending of 7 Patriot batteries, which for the Americans would be a great sacrifice. /Taken from "Il Sussidiario", adapted Pamphlet.
Lini një Përgjigje