FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
State and national polls show that when the third candidate, Kennedy Jr., is included in the race, he receives more votes from Trump than from Kamala Harris.
According to analysts, Donald Trump benefits from the departure of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. from the election race.
State and national polls show that when the third candidate, Kennedy Jr., is included in the race, he receives more votes from Trump than from Kamala Harris.
A Fox News poll of 1,034 Pennsylvania voters conducted between July 22 and 24 showed that 10 percent of his bipartisan supporters choose someone else when third-party candidates are involved, while only 7 percent of Harris supporters choose a other candidate.
When third-party candidates were included, Harris had a 2-point lead over Trump, with 45 percent of the vote to 43 percent. Meanwhile, Kennedy got 7 percent, while Jill Stein and Cornel West got 1 percent each.
In a two-way race, Harris and Trump tied at 49 percent each, with a margin of error of 3 percent.
"Trump has a real incentive to get Kennedy out of the race," David B. Cohen, a political science professor at the University of Akron in Ohio, told Newsweek.
Meanwhile, in a University of Massachusetts Amherst poll conducted between July 29 and August 1, 29 percent of Kennedy voters said they would vote for Trump in a head-to-head showdown, while only 26 percent of Harris voters said they would. that they would vote.
Despite his family's close ties to the Democratic Party, polls have previously shown that far more Republicans than Democrats have a favorable opinion of RFK Jr., the AP reported.
"Before Joe Biden decided to retire from the presidency, RFK Jr. between 14 and 16 percent of the American public was voting. He was doing very well. But since Biden withdrew and Kamala Harris was declared the Democratic nominee, we've seen his polls drop by about 10 percent to 4 percent, Mike Tappin, an American expert and honorary fellow at Keele University in UK.
According to the White House Race Poll Aggregator, Kennedy is now at 5.7 percent. On July 10, before Biden dropped out of the race, he was at 10 percent.
" I think one of the reasons for that is that the electorate didn't want to see Donald Trump and Biden have a rematch, and RFK Jr. was taking advantage of it. Now we have a new candidate, like Harris, and now we're “seeing RFK Jr. suffering since Harris entered the race, " Tappin added.
With his share of the vote falling, Tappin doesn't think Kennedy will be in the race much longer, adding that "there are already some indications that the Trump campaign is trying to get RFK Jr. to leave".
Kennedy and Trump reportedly met at the RNC in Milwaukee last month, with early reports of the meeting fueling speculation that Kennedy was planning to drop out of the race and possibly endorse Trump.
However, a spokesman for the independent candidate's campaign quelled the speculation, telling the New York Times at the time: "Yes, Mr. Kennedy met with President Trump today to discuss national unity, and he hopes to meet with the leaders of the Democratic Party as well." ", simultaneously denying withdrawal from the race.
But Tappin said Kennedy could still drop out of the race, especially if Trump offers him a job in his administration.
" I think the chances of RFK Jr. are less than zero and my opinion is that Trump can offer him a position in the cabinet, to get him out of the race," he said.
However, Professor Cohen thinks that offering Kennedy a job to tempt him to drop out is something that could pose a risk to the Trump campaign.
Lini një Përgjigje