How many points can the national team get in the next two games?

Using a statistical simulation model for our national team that I built before EURO 2024, I ran 10,000 computer simulations for each of their next two matches today against Ukraine and Tuesday against Georgia.

In the model I factored all the public information about our football players and the opponents, as well as the latest results of each national team and the effect of the host field and the neutral field.

For each of the matches, something over 50% of the simulations resulted in the victory of our National Team. So something over 25% results in the probability of winning both, with 6 full points (0.5*0.5=0.25).

The probabilities of our National Team's points in the next two matches resulted (see the table):

eduard zaloshnja kombëtarja shqiptare

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