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Rajoni dhe Bota2023-12-16 21:17:00

Will America leave NATO after a year? The world must start preparing

Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Will America leave NATO after a year? The world must start preparing
Donald Trump

In the latest polls, Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden, and although his re-election is a statistically unlikely event, world leaders are also evaluating this scenario...

Nothing is eternal in human history. Even those alliances between nations that seem immortal in the short period of our experience have an expiration date. Will America announce its exit from NATO in a year? Now we have to ask ourselves.

In the latest polls, Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden in the direct challenge between the two. Within the Republican Party, a month before the primaries begin, the gulf he imposes on his followers (Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis) remains unimaginable.

Even those who considered Trump's return impossible, have now begun to think again.

Governments around the world are doing the same, where each one is looking at the consequences that Trump's return will bring to their countries. And the biggest consequence that can disturb the world is the exit of the USA from NATO, this promise made by Trump.

A Trump re-election would be a "black swan" - a statistically highly unlikely event with shocking consequences if true - but in this age, black swans, rather than being rare, tend to populate our world. (From September 11, 2001 of Osama Bin Laden to October 7, 2023 of Hamas, passing through the financial crisis of 2008, Brexit and Trump 1 in 2016, the pandemic or Ukraine). /Adapted “Pamphlet” from "Corriere della Sera

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