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It is now increasingly clear that the US administration has made some misjudgments, some miscalculations, and some timing errors on this conflict with Iran. First, Venezuela.
US President Donald Trump was encouraged by his operation in Venezuela in early January, which went remarkably well. The leader, Nicolas Maduro, was removed from office and his deputy, Delcy Rodriguez, emerged as a puppet leader obedient to the Americans. But Venezuela is not Iran, where the Supreme Leader has been replaced by his more hard-line son.
As former US general and CIA director David Petraeus said last week: "We were hoping for Delcy Rodríguez... instead, what we got is a new Kim Jong Un . "
The second point, about time, is also related to Venezuela, because that is where the main American military equipment was concentrated earlier this year, when the uprising in Iran was taking place.
If the president had taken his step toward Iran during those protests and couldn't because the military focus was on Venezuela, then he could have achieved regime change.
He may have supported his allies, too. Part of the challenge for America now is that European allies are wary of how this will all play out in Iran, but also at a disadvantage militarily because America didn’t involve them in the first place. Now it needs them, as Trump’s recent social media posts make so clear.
The last point has to do with the definitions of victory. For America, for Trump, victory is the complete defeat or capitulation of the other side. But for Iran, victory is defined differently. It is about resistance. And now, politically and militarily, Iran is resisting more than the Americans ever expected./ SkyNews
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