Trump administration officials are examining the impact on the economy of a potential oil price increase of up to $200 per barrel, Bloomberg reported, citing sources familiar with the matter.
This assessment is seen as an indication that various scenarios related to the possible consequences of tensions and conflict with Iran are being analyzed at the highest levels.
Sources explain that these analyses are part of routine assessments carried out in times of uncertainty and do not constitute a concrete forecast. The aim is for the government to be prepared for any possible development, including a prolonged conflict.
Even before the situation escalated, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant had raised concerns about the impact higher oil prices could have on economic growth. Other senior officials have briefed the White House on recent fluctuations in oil and fuel prices.
However, White House spokesperson Khush Desai called the reports “inaccurate,” noting that while various scenarios are being analyzed, there are no estimates that oil prices will reach $200 a barrel. He also added that Secretary Besant has not expressed concerns about short-term disruptions related to Operation Epic Fury.
According to him, Besant has consistently expressed confidence in the long-term performance of the American economy and the stability of global energy markets.
Meanwhile, oil prices have been rising since the US and Israeli attacks on Iran on February 28. US West Texas Intermediate crude has risen by about 30%, reaching $91 per barrel, while Brent has risen by nearly 40%, trading around $102 per barrel.

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