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Rajoni dhe Bota2023-06-02 13:10:00

Following Erdogan's re-election, Turkey is expected to experience a mass exodus of the pro-Western secular elite

Shkruar nga Pamfleti

Following Erdogan's re-election, Turkey is expected to experience a mass

He not only wants to restore it to the territories he feels the victorious powers of the First World War unjustly denied Turkey, but also wants to raise a religiously devout generation to oppose the imposed secularism of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk...

Thirty years ago, Recep Tayyip Erdogan explained his goal like this: "Democracy is not our ultimate goal. It is a tool we need to restore the Islamic civilization, which will advance in the 21st century, and whoever participates in the revival of this civilization, the reward he will receive from God will be doubled."

And Erdogan is determined to achieve his goals to the end. The last parliamentary and presidential elections were neither free nor fair. The fixing of the result was prepared even before the polls started.

While academics, think tanks on Turkey, journalists and diplomats may still cling to the hope that Turkey is not yet a hopeless case, the reality is that this country will be a problem for NATO, the West and order for decades to come. actual rule-based.

Where can Erdogan take Turkey? The local currency, lira, is continuing its rapid decline. While supporters initially praised Erdogan for rapidly expanding the economy, in retrospect one could say that Erdogan was simply very lucky: He was the beneficiary of Turkey's huge demographic growth.

But while East Asian leaders used their booming working-age populations to put their economies on a strong footing for the future, Erdogan missed the chance. Therefore, Turkey is now on the threshold of a financial crisis similar to that of Venezuela.

As it approaches the 100th anniversary of the Treaty of Lausanne that defined its modern borders, and its 100th anniversary as a modern nation-state, Erdogan may confirm the fundamentals of Turkey's foreign policy. Turkey continues to hold part of Cyprus and some expanding areas within Syria and Iraq.

He is increasingly cooperating with the dictatorships of Moscow, Beijing and Eurasia. Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu continues to fuel anti-Americanism. "Turkey has reached such a point that from now on anyone who follows a policy that focuses on America will be declared a traitor to the motherland!",  he declared.

Erdogan sees himself as a sultan. Like Russian President Vladimir Putin, who calls the fall of the Soviet Union a catastrophe, so is the collapse of the Ottoman Empire for Erdogan.

He not only wants to restore it to the territories he feels the victorious powers of the First World War unjustly denied Turkey, but also wants to raise a religiously devout generation to oppose the imposed secularism of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk. But this will require three major changes in Turkish society.

First, he would have to relegate Christians and other religious minorities to the status of second-class citizens, which suggests growing discrimination against Greeks, Armenians and Jews within Turkey.

Second, he will have to re-educate Turkey's youth. In Istanbul, along the Aegean and Mediterranean coasts and in Turkish Kurdistan, many young people are resisting the orders of Erdogan's Muslim Brotherhood, even if they themselves are practicing believers.

Për Erdoganin, kjo është vetëm gjysma e betejës. Disa njerëz, sipas këndvështrimit të presidenti turk janë të pa konvertueshëm. Dhe këtu përfshihet jo vetëm rinia, por edhe atë që ka mbetur nga klasa e mesme më laike apo perëndimore.

Dhe sipas Erdogan, Soylu dhe rrethit të tyre të ngushtë, në rast se ata nuk mund të konvertohen, duhet të largohen. Dhe provat e kësaj “arratie të trurit” janë shumë të dukshme në Miami të SHBA-së, që po bëhet me shpejtësi Stamboll i vogël, sa është edhe Havana e vogël.

Ata që kanë formim ushtarak po dynden në Norfolk dhe Virginia Beach, ku ish-kolegët e NATO-s po u ofrojnë mbështetje. Duhet theksuar se Erdogan nuk po ri-shpik rrotën. Ai vetëm sa po zbaton një taktikë të provuar tashmë për efikasitetin e saj.

Ajatollah Khomeini e transformoi Iranin jo vetëm nëpërmjet indoktrinimit, por duke inkurajuar largimin e pjesës më të arsimuar dhe më përparimtare, për të çliruar vendin nga një elitë, që përndryshe mund të “ndotë” shoqërinë në aspektin ideologjik.

Edhe diktatori komunist Fidel Castro inkurajoi emigracionin masiv jo vetëm për të çliruar veten nga një shtresë e ulët kriminale, por edhe nga elitat e epokës së Batistës, si dhe nga ata që nuk e pranuan vizionin e tij marksist.

Muqtada Al-Sadr applied the same strategy in Iraq after 2003, as he tried to rid Baghdad of a middle class whose values ​​he did not share. In the meantime, Erdogan can replace some "white Turkish" elites, as well as Alevis and Kurds, with religiously conservative Arab-Syrians, while he will then encourage other refugees to continue their journey to Europe.

However, many of Turkey's traditional Kemalists will not stay to fight another day. They will see Kemal Kilicdaroglu's election defeat as their last chance, and pack their bags to leave. So get ready to see the acceleration of sociological changes in Turkish society. /Taken from "19 Forty Five"

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