FLASH
Shkruar nga Eduard Zaloshnja
The SP needs to significantly increase its lead over both, to maintain the 6 mandates it won four years ago.
In 2021, the SP needed to get even 1 more vote than the DP in the Korça Region to secure its 6th mandate. Now, it may need about 14 thousand more votes to secure its 6th mandate, because this year the Korça Region has a total of 10 parliamentary mandates (not 11 like four years ago).
In 2021, when immigrants could not vote by mail, nor even by coming by bus (due to the pandemic), the SP received 60,540 valid votes, compared to 50,480 votes for the PD-AN and 8,500 votes for the LSI. Now that the PD and LSI are together in the Alliance of Greater Albania, and that the district has been reduced by 1 mandate, the SP needs to significantly increase its lead over both, to maintain the 6 mandates it received four years ago.
Two dynamics are at play in the region, unlike in 2021. First, emigrants can vote both by mail and by physically coming to vote on May 11 – and historically the SP has had an advantage among Korça residents in emigration. Second, the LSI has been significantly weakened in the territory of the Korça Region.
But will these two dynamics be enough to give the SP a lead of about 14 thousand votes in the Korça District? Which would ensure it a 6th mandate there again. This is the most statistically interesting question in the electoral calculations of the different districts…
Lini një Përgjigje