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Forum2026-01-15 19:13:00

Who is the 'Venezuela' of Europe?

Shkruar nga Dragan Sormaz
Who is the 'Venezuela' of Europe?
Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama and Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić

The only country in Europe without any allies...

The turbulent start to 2026 has revealed, in its extreme, the extent of the collapse and the strategic dead end in which Serbia finds itself under the control of the Vučić regime. The arrest of Nicolás Maduro and the operational deployment of Trump's new and powerful approach to confronting the global axis of evil composed of corrupt autocrats and heads of state-sponsored drug cartels have caused an unprecedented level of nervousness in Vučić himself and his loyal attack dogs. Thus, Trump, who after his election victory was greeted by them as a "Serb", almost overnight became a bandit, pirate and global destroyer of international law.

What is most hypocritical in the region-wide mourning for the fate of Vučić’s Venezuelan strategic partner is the fact that they did not say a single word about the incomparably more serious violations of international law and mass crimes committed in recent years by the Putin regime through its brutal aggression against Ukraine. From this case it is clear that Vučić’s radicals collectively dreamed of the Russian army on the Danube, the collapse of NATO and the disintegration of the North Atlantic partnership of democratic and civilized countries. Instead, Trump clearly demonstrated his determination to confront the axis of evil around the world, destroying the dream of his former ardent supporters in Serbia.

However, what is most worrying in the case of Serbia is that, after the collapse of the vision of the world order in which he invested all his political capital, Aleksandar Vučić himself has completely lost his compass, along with the little political and mental rationality he once possessed. And this is what seriously endangers the fate and future of the entire country. Why is this happening? Why was Serbia the only European country present at the inauguration of Maduro, who is not recognized as the president of Venezuela by democratic states? Ana Brnabić, who attended, made an attempt - with that strange story about a Venezuelan soldier who greeted Vučić by beating his chest (un)heroically - to emphasize the great love between Maduro and Serbia.

Since in politics and international relations everything is about interests, let's ask: what interest could connect Maduro and Vučić, if we know that it is not oil?! Serbia does not buy oil from Venezuela! Considering that there is hardly a single arrest of criminals trafficking cocaine from South America to Europe without someone from Serbia being among the arrested, maybe the American DEA knows the answer to this question?! Time will reveal the truth.

In his speech towards the end of last year, Vučić announced the spending of billions of new ones on military rearmament (which also includes a tenth of corruption for his regime), representing a completely inefficient use of funds. Due to the insistence on the outdated concept of military neutrality, Serbia is today the only country in Europe without any allies! And it is clear to everyone that such a state and its army have no real strength, nor any real capacity to protect the national interests entrusted to them.

What was also telling in Vučić’s speech was that he did not mention the EU even once, nor his promise that by the end of 2026 he would complete everything necessary for Serbia’s membership in the Union. This is a clear signal that Vučić, on behalf of Serbia, has chosen self-isolation and the cessation of further fulfillment of the conditions for EU membership. For the citizens of Serbia, this means even less democracy, less free media and a fair democratic competition, and more poverty, lagging behind the developed democratic world, and toxic Russian propaganda aimed at turning Serbia into a European Venezuela.

Vučić also failed to mention that Serbia's economic growth in 2025 was barely 2 percent instead of the projected 4-4.5 percent. For Serbia to reach the level of development of a country like Slovakia, it would have to achieve an annual growth of at least 7 percent over the next 20 years, and that without inflation, which today places Serbia among the five worst countries in Europe in terms of purchasing power of citizens, and assuming that Slovakia would not increase its economic growth over those 20 years!

Therefore, without the European market, without European funds and without European investments, Serbia will regress, with no chance of achieving the economic development that Vučić talks about. However, it has become clear to most people in Serbia that Vučić is either lying or talking about things he knows nothing about.

The lack of a strategic vision for the country's development and the existence of blind faith in radical illusions from the 1990s are further evidenced by the new announcements of the construction of an oil pipeline in Hungary to continue the supply of Russian oil, even though the EU institutions have made a firm decision that by the end of 2027, member states will completely stop buying oil and gas from Russia. This is also shown by the fact that Russian gas imports to the EU in 2025 fell by up to 44 percent, reaching a level lower than gas imports from the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

Gas prices on the European market in December 2025 were about 10 percent lower than they were in December 2011. The purchase of Russian gas in Serbia is not transparent and we do not know the real price, but I am sure that it is not lower than when the EU buys on the open and free market.

Serbia under the regime of Aleksandar Vučić represents a country without any real prospects or chances to catch up with its European and NATO neighbors. This is reflected not only in the standard of living of the population, but also in the technological backwardness and the lack of capacity of the state to face modern security challenges. Such a Serbia can only suffer the same fate it experienced in the 1990s, which it squandered in lost wars and wrong strategic decisions.

Only full democratization, rejection of toxic ties with Russia and China, and membership in the EU and NATO can transform Serbia into a healthy and normal European society. Everything else consists of illusions that we will pay dearly for in the near future that awaits us./ Adapted from "Pamphlet" by "The Geopost"

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