FLASH
Shkruar nga Mark Stone
A narrow Harris victory would probably prompt Trumpian accusations of fraud...
You hear the phrase 'civil war' a lot these days here in America.
As uncomfortable as this is, we're not there yet. This is the good news.
But we are now in a field where something that was once considered impossible in modern America is now being contemplated. The tensions and anxieties in America now run deep.
The nation is divided. There is also a divide between urban and rural areas. The nation is also silent. The parties do not trust each other; they don't listen to each other's points of view.
Perhaps it is easy to miss this deep social fracture precisely because of the silent nature of the country.
The mainstream media in America is not trusted. "I get my news online," is a phrase I hear all the time. This is not healthy.
Institutions that act as balancing shields are not climbing, some would say they are compromised.
One of the two candidates in these elections constantly violates the electoral and judicial process, sowing doubts among his followers. All of this was dangerous even before Donald Trump came back.
During Mr. Trump's last presidency, the institutions that act as bulwarks of democracy — such as the courts, the military, state officials — stood firm.
The danger this time is that a victorious Donald Trump would hire only those officials who are completely loyal to him. He has made that clear. Remember also that the power of the American presidency under a president who does not care about the law is great.
Some experts argue that America has already entered an area where it is no longer a full democracy. It is not an autocracy, but in a middle area they call it an 'anocracy' because of the erosion of some of the main pillars.
This is the important context through which the question of 'civil war' must be examined.
This election result will almost certainly be very close. Recounts and claims of fraud (especially on Trump's part) are highly likely.
A narrow Harris victory would likely prompt Trumpian accusations of fraud.
These would be reviewed by the courts he has already undermined and perhaps then elevated to the highest court, which he loaded with his lined-up justices in his last term.
We all remember the nightmare of January 6 on Capitol Hill. Another test? Let's hope not. But the prospect of riots at state Capitol buildings in various states where Trump-aligned politicians hold key positions is real.
Another scenario: Trump wins, possibly handily. Then there's the risk of protests - which could turn violent - from the left that could backlash against Mr Trump's policies, which they will see as a slide towards authoritarianism.
So - do I feel the election result has the potential to cause unrest? Yes. /Adapted "Pamphlet" from "Sky News"
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