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Donald Trump, the winner of the US presidential election, has not yet presented an official plan to stop Russia's war against Ukraine. However, during the election campaign, he assured that he could end the war "within 24 hours". According to media reports, discussions about this are taking place in his team.
As the All Street Journal (WSJ) recently reported, citing three sources close to Trump, one of the plans would require Ukraine to agree not to join the NATO defense alliance for at least 20 years. In return, Washington will continue to supply Ukraine with weapons to deter the Russian Federation from further attacks.
According to ëSJ, all proposals include "freezing" the war, which would mean the occupation of about 20 percent of Ukrainian territory by Russia. Citing its own sources, The Telegraph newspaper wrote that as part of his plans, Trump may call on European and British troops to secure a 1,300-kilometer buffer zone between the armies of Ukraine and the Russian Federation.
"Ukrainians meat for cannon"
Meanwhile, in Ukraine, it is no longer excluded that the US will impose unacceptable scenarios on the country after the arrival of Trump in the White House, which could lead to a "slow occupation" of Ukraine by Russia after the "freezing of the war". "It's funny to read the optimistic illusions about how Trump will show the country to Russia, supply weapons and end the war," writes a user with the nickname "Dragonfly" on the social network X. "I have a feeling that we have already lost. With his election victory, his method is to deal with an aggressor, a terrorist, a mass murderer and a war criminal.
Facebook user Oksana Lysiak also expresses incomprehension. "The main thing that people don't want to understand - or pretend not to understand - is that Putin doesn't love Ukrainians out of brotherly love or anything like that, but as cannon fodder and worker ants for an attack on the European stronghold."
Ukrainian journalist Andriy Herasym expresses fear on Facebook: "Trump will say he has 'fixed' everything. He will stop funding Ukraine and then say all further responsibility rests with Europe. In the end after all, Ukraine is part of Europe."
Oleksiy Kopytko, a military expert and former adviser to the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, points out: "The best option for us is: Europe becomes aware and starts properly financing its defense." This means that Europe should give Ukraine fair financial support for the "high tribute" and to stop Russia. After all Japan and South Korea do the same. Just a few days ago, Japan announced another military aid package. This would create the basis of a transatlantic unity that fits Trump's vision, according to Kopytko.
"With calculator in hand"
Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Volodymyr Ohrysko called for a turnaround: "For some in the West, removing problems at Ukraine's expense is the best solution. Cynics around Trump will encourage him to take this option, because it's easier. But we have to turn this ideology in a different direction and say to Trump: "Look, we offer things that are useful for you, we will make tens and hundreds of billions of dollars by strengthening Ukraine," Ohrysko told Ukrainian broadcaster NV.
In his opinion, Ukraine should take the initiative and clearly explain to Trump, "calculator in hand", what this is about, before his inauguration: that aid to Ukraine would mean an increase in funds that remain in the US due to defense contracts.
But Ihor Reyterovych of Taras Shevchenko University in Kyiv hopes Trump will help end the war and do so on fair terms. "Two-thirds of his voters support Ukraine in the war against Russia. If Trump makes concessions to Russia, it will be viewed extremely negatively, even by colleagues in his own party." "We have a future with different options and each scenario can change at any time. The only thing that unites them is that Trump definitely wants to end the war. You know there has to be a compromise, but until where that compromise goes is still unclear", according to Rejteroëytsch.
Willingness for negotiations grows
Meanwhile, due to the worsening situation on the war front and increasingly scarce resources, a large part of Ukrainians are gradually changing their attitude regarding negotiations with Russia. This was confirmed by a study by the Kyiv Research Center Razumkov in September. In the fall of 2023, 21 percent of respondents supported negotiations with Russia. This year it is already 35 percent. However, as sociologists point out, the relative majority of 48 percent are still against negotiations./ DW
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