FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
The US intervention in Venezuela, designating Nicolás Maduro’s regime as a foreign terrorist organization for its ties to international drug crime, is not just a limited geopolitical move. It is quietly becoming a precedent that is being studied closely in Beijing, not as a threat, but as an opportunity to reshape the rules of the game in the Eastern Pacific.
For the first time since the Cold War, a superpower like the US is acting according to the old logic of spheres of influence, publicly defining which regions are “its own” and which pose a strategic threat beyond the norms of international law. What happened in Venezuela, a country that poses no direct threat to US domestic security, is evidence that Washington is willing to intervene unilaterally in its own backyard, with the self-proclaimed justification of “national security.”
This change has not gone unnoticed in China. On the contrary: Beijing reads this as a green light to apply the same logic to its own strategic area, and above all to Taiwan. If the US decides that Venezuela poses a threat to regional stability and world order, why shouldn't China argue the same about Taiwan?
In its foreign doctrine, China has for years built the narrative that Taiwan is not an independent state, but a territory of China that seeks "return to the motherland." In this logic, any attempt at international recognition of Taiwan is seen as interference in China's internal affairs. Now, with the Venezuelan precedent on the table, the Chinese argument is no longer just historical or ideological, but also strategic and geopolitical.
Beijing knows well that the US has neither the will nor the alliance for a direct confrontation over Taiwan. Meanwhile, Europe remains silent, preoccupied with its own crises, and has neither the capacity nor the interest in having a second front in the Pacific. In this strategic vacuum, China can apply a soft and gradual strategy: economic pressure, diplomatic isolation of Taipei, increased military presence without exceeding the limits of a “declaration of war”, always with the excuse that it is “restoring order”.
In this context, the case of Venezuela is more than an act against a Latin American regime. It is a test of a new paradigm. And in this paradigm, the great powers are turning their eyes to their own backyards: the US in the Western Hemisphere, China in East Asia, Russia in the former Soviet space.
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