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The world is in turmoil: Will the US join the war?
The ultimatum could not have been clearer. Trump told Iran's leaders: if you don't completely give up uranium enrichment, if you don't surrender unconditionally, "something is going to happen." It's not a negotiation, it's not a matter of agreement. It's a demand for complete surrender.
Just a few days earlier, after Israel's attack on Iran, Trump had chosen a middle path: he gave vague support through American intelligence for the Israeli attacks that he called "unilateral," and of course promised defensive support for the ally, but also reiterated that war could be used as a means of pressure to force Tehran to accept a deal.
Now, however, the moment has come when, if this tactic of persuasion through threats fails, Trump must decide whether this is Israel's war or the United States'. And for this reason, yesterday the world anxiously awaited the outcome of his meeting in the "Situation Room" to understand whether he is ready to help the Israelis destroy the Iranian nuclear facility at Fordow.
The meeting was preceded by a change in Trump's rhetoric in recent hours: not only the disturbing message on social media "evacuate Tehran" shortly before he left the G7 summit prematurely, but above all the use of the pronoun "we" evoking regime change, when he wrote: "we have complete control of the skies over Tehran" and "we know exactly where the so-called Supreme Leader is hiding. It is an easy target, but it is safe for the moment, we will not get rid of (we will not kill!) him at least for now".
Vice President JD Vance's intervention on social media is also significant: he tried to explain to the MAGA (Make America Great Again) electorate a possible US military intervention, saying that "of course people have a right to be concerned about getting involved in wars abroad after 25 years of idiotic foreign policy", but "the president has done everything he can to keep our forces focused on protecting our soldiers and citizens". Now, however, "further action may be necessary to stop uranium enrichment".
The MAGA front, Trump’s “chorus” led by commentator Tucker Carlson, is trying to stop what they see as an inevitable slide into another “forever war” that their leader has always condemned. Trump, on the other hand, has responded to Carlson on social media and yesterday reposted a message from his ambassador to Israel, Pastor Mike Huckabee, who wrote to him that God had saved him from Butler’s assassination so that he could become “the most important president since Truman in 1945”: the one who dropped the atomic bomb on Japan. Netanyahu has convinced Trump that the Iranians are very close to achieving a nuclear weapon.
The two leaders have differences, mutual suspicions abound, but they have one thing in common: the conviction that Iran should never have nuclear weapons and that it poses an existential threat to Israel. Before launching its attacks on Iran, Israel had provided the US with alarming intelligence that Tehran was conducting new research useful for building a nuclear weapon, although some US officials, while convinced that Iran had made significant progress in its nuclear program, were skeptical that it had made the final decision to build a bomb.
Yesterday, the White House sent reporters a list of 15 times since the beginning of his term that Trump has declared that Iran should not have nuclear weapons; State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce said that's 40 times since 2011.
The Americans had long known that Netanyahu was preparing for an attack. On June 8 at Camp David, CIA Director John Ratcliffe told the president that Israel would strike with or without the US. On June 9, Trump spoke to Netanyahu on the phone and realized that he would not be able to stop him. The Israeli prime minister showed him that there were forces on the ground inside Iran: Trump was impressed, as was the success of the Israeli operation – a success that he wants to present as his own. “I think we are going to have to help him,” he is said to have told his advisers that day.
Moreover, Trump was losing patience with the negotiations with Iran: they were not going in the direction he wanted. /Adapted from "Pamphlet" by "Corriere Della Sera"
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