Americans do not want a Biden-Trump rematch. But if that happens, Democrats should prepare for a deep defeat.
Perhaps nothing better illustrates Joe Biden's presidency than a photo his team posted to celebrate his 81st birthday last Monday.
Biden is shown gripping the sides of the table as a mass of candles (81 of them) catch fire on the cake in front of him. It is symbolic of how he is clinging to the hope of winning a second term, despite the trash fire from his low approval ratings and dissatisfaction among the American people with his job performance.
And no matter how much Biden and his administration dismiss concerns about his age (or joke about it), voters are concerned. On Biden's birthday, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters that "we should judge him by what he's done, not by his numbers."
Truly who is the communications genius who thought putting 81 candles on Biden's cake was a good idea? It looks like the world after Biden's first term - completely engulfed in flames. pic.twitter.com/5SzHuPKAgT
— Marc Thiessen ????????❤️??????????????????????????? (@marcthiessen) November 21, 2023
" I would put the president's stamina, the president's wisdom, the ability to do this on behalf of the American people, against anyone. Anyone, any day of the week," Jean-Pierre said.
Biden's staff can joke all they want, but voters are smarter than that.
Is Biden too old?
The numbers don't lie! Poll after poll has shown that voters — even most Democrats — are worried about Biden's age and continued ability to do the country's most important job. In September, a Wall Street Journal poll showed 73% of voters said Biden is too old to run for re-election.
It's not just Biden's age — it's the way he acts. For example, at 77, former President Donald Trump is only a few years younger, but only 47% of voters said Trump's age was a barrier to running again.
In general, voters are not satisfied with their quality of life under Biden. A new NBC News poll showed the president's approval rating has hit an all-time low — just 40% approve of his performance.
Other warning signs include a decline in support among black voters, a generally loyal Democratic bloc. Some polls have shown that at least 20% of black voters say they would support Trump, the current GOP front-runner, if the election were held now. That's a significant increase from the 12% who voted for Trump in 2020.
Similarly, young voters who overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020 are showing less enthusiasm this time around now that they've seen him in action. Biden has repeatedly tried to woo this taxpayer-funded group with promises like student loan forgiveness, but even that may not win them their vote.
If the race is Trump-Biden, the odds are against Joe
Democrats started out feeling pretty smug about their chances in a Biden-Trump rematch, but that confidence is fading. Or it should be. Even with all the baggage and criminal charges, Trump remains superior, at least when compared to Biden.
When it comes down to it, voters will make their decisions based on what is best for them and their families. And growing numbers say they trust Trump more on the economy, foreign policy and immigration.
Of 12 national polls in November, 10 have Trump leading Biden in a hypothetical matchup. This is reflected in the battleground states that will be key to winning the White House in 2024.
A recent Michigan poll conducted by EPIC-MRA found Trump leading Biden 46% to 41% in the key Midwestern state. Biden's support is eroding fast. In August, the same polling firm showed Biden with a 46% to 45% lead over Trump.
America Needs Real Leaders: Surely the Republicans can do better than Trump.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released this month had Biden losing to Trump in five of the six battleground states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania) by 4 to 10 points.
So what should Democrats do?
There is no clear alternative. Biden shows no signs of voluntarily stepping down. And the other obvious choice – his VP Kamala Harris – is no more liked than he is.
However, other Democrats are interested in leading the party and the nation. California Governor Gavin Newsom is clearly running a shady campaign. For example, Newsom will debate Republican presidential candidate and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis later this month.
In the coming months, Biden faces a grueling campaign schedule, not to mention the stresses of his day job. While he was able to do much of the 2020 campaign from his home in Delaware due to COVID-19, the president won't be able to do it this time around.
Americans do not want a Biden-Trump rematch. But if such a thing happens, the Democrats should prepare for a deep defeat! / Adapted "Pamphlet" from "USA Today"
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