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Rajoni dhe Bota2023-10-25 18:48:00

Ukraine, the Middle East and Taiwan: can the US afford three wars at once?

Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Ukraine, the Middle East and Taiwan: can the US afford three wars at once?
Joe Biden

Biden is turning into a war president: The White House wants to demonstrate that, despite the crises in Ukraine and the Middle East "he manages to maintain focus on several crucial regions at the same time"...

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is on a state visit to Washington today. With President Biden, he will address security issues in the Indo-Pacific and relations with China. The alliance between the two countries is cemented by defense partnerships such as Aukus (Australia, the United Kingdom, the United States) and the strengthening of trilateral cooperation with Japan. The White House wants to show that, despite the crises in Ukraine and the Middle East, "it manages to maintain focus on several crucial regions at the same time," said Mira Rapp-Hooper, director of the White House, in a briefing with reporters yesterday.

In Foreign Affairs, national security adviser Jake Sullivan explains that "the Middle East risks devolving into regional conflict," but that doesn't change the fact that America must "prepare for a new era of strategic competition, particularly in deterrence and the response to aggression . . . by the great powers". Sullivan's vision is that the barriers between domestic and foreign policy must be "broken down", as Eisenhower did in the 1950s".

Advisor to President Biden explains that the future of the world is a "competition in an age of interdependence." Domestic policy is more intertwined with foreign policy than ever, for example in efforts to diversify supply chains for semiconductors, critical raw materials, electric vehicle batteries, and to limit China's access to advanced technologies. And in fact, Biden has always had as a priority the strengthening of the American economy and industry, also to make it more competitive with China.

But at the same time he is turning into a wartime president. "Can it handle two or maybe three wars at the same time?" asks the Economist. The administration did not expect the opening of a new front in the Middle East.

Biden wanted to restore the Iran deal, normalize relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia and end the war in Afghanistan. He now has two US aircraft carriers in the Middle East, air defense systems and fighters deployed to the region, troops in the Middle East on standby. This is the demonstration of American military power towards Iran, for fear of escalating the war in the region. If Hezbollah and other Iran-linked militias were to attack directly, the United States might feel compelled to intervene.

When the United States began sending weapons to Ukraine, many questioned whether the American military industry had the capacity to withstand two wars. Now there is a risk of three wars. There is always the fear among think tanks that China may see US involvement in Ukraine as in Israel as an opportunity to intervene in Taiwan. Biden is maintaining the alliances abandoned by his predecessor: they are the key to his foreign policy.

But at home, Congress (which the president asked for $105 billion to fund Ukraine, Israel and the Indo-Pacific fronts, plus security on the Mexican border) has been paralyzed for three weeks because of the inability to forge the alliances that allow a Republican president . And the Trumpian ultra-right is increasingly hostile to the war in Ukraine. The president, in his address to the nation, defined America as the "indispensable nation," a concept popularized by former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright. America, The Economist reminds us, feels like the only nation that wants and can mediate between regional leaders to get out of crises. Since October 7, Biden has actually been constantly on the phone with Middle Eastern and European leaders, not forgetting Asia; so his Secretary of State Blinken is engaged in intensive naval diplomacy in the Middle East. / Adapted "Pamphlet" from "Corriere Della Sera".

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