FLASH
Shkruar nga Eduard Zaloshnja
Who knows what God or Chance (according to belief) decides to refute or confirm these statistics, which give us only a 33% chance of qualifying for Poland...
By researching all the football statistics published to date for Albanian and Polish footballers, as well as the matches of the last two years of each team, I built a statistical simulation model to statistically predict how our qualifying match in Poland might end.
Out of 10,000 simulations of the statistical model (where the match is "played" 10,000 times for just a few seconds on the computer), it turned out that we only qualify in 33% of the statistical simulations (including possible extra time, and then penalties).
The 33% odds are not big, but we should not forget that before the match in Portugal in 2014, the probability of our victory there was only 1%. And with a single shot on goal, we scored a goal (Balaj), while Portugal hit our goalposts several times.
Also, we must not forget that before the match in Serbia in 2025, the probability of our victory there was only 11%. But with a gem from Manaj, we scored a goal, while Serbia's 14 shots on goal were completely unsuccessful...
Who knows what God or Chance (according to belief) decides to refute or confirm these statistics, which give us only a 33% chance of qualifying for Poland...
Lini një Përgjigje