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Forum2025-12-23 09:22:00

Trump's three biggest problems: Will he survive 2026 politically?

Shkruar nga Pierre Haski

Trump's three biggest problems: Will he survive 2026 politically?

The Epstein case, the crisis in the livelihoods of most Americans, and the deep divisions within the MAGA movement are challenges that could force the current president to end his second term in disgrace. Trump has only 10 months until the midterm elections to make himself "great again"...

Let's face it: since returning to the White House on January 20 of this year, Donald Trump has dominated the news all year, in both form and content. To the surprise of the rest of the world, hardly a day has passed without a statement or tweet from the president.

A strategy that is widely hypothesized to have been designed specifically to attract attention. But it has had major, mostly negative effects: Trump severely damaged the world order established after World War II, ignored the law governing relations between states, changed globalization with his customs duties, and weakened US alliances (most notably NATO) and international organizations, starting with the UN.

The American president claims to have ended eight wars, but the truth is that two of the main conflicts in which the United States is involved, Ukraine and Palestine, are still ongoing.
One of the worst images of the year that is coming to an end is the humiliation inflicted on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House in February, which was balanced by the red carpet rolled out for Vladimir Putin in Alaska in August.

Meanwhile, the war, which Donald Trump promised to resolve within 24 hours during the presidential campaign, will continue until the American president acknowledges that Vladimir Putin does not want compromise, but only a complete victory.

The “Trump Doctrine” that is taking shape in this second term bears no resemblance to what we imagined during his first term. Two examples: Trump wants to avoid “endless wars,” like those waged by the United States in Afghanistan and Iraq.

But at the same time, he has not hesitated to use the military, disappointing the isolationist wing of his movement, MAGA. He did so in Yemen, Iran, off the coast of Venezuela and a few days ago in Syria against the Islamic State group after the deaths of the first American soldiers during his presidency.

The military, freed from any legal constraints, is a political instrument of power at the disposal of the executive branch, even within the United States. Second example: the policy outlined in the latest National Security Strategy revives the two-century-old Monroe Doctrine on Latin America, based on the idea that the United States should maintain hegemony only in its own hemisphere.

This is shown by the strong pressure on Venezuela. So what can we expect in 2026? For Trump, the risks will be twofold: on the international front, he will have to define Washington's stance towards China, its only real rival of the 21st century, and the only country that has shown this year that it can withstand American pressure.

Trump will visit Beijing in April, a crucial trip for Sino-American relations, but also for the rest of the world. But the big challenge will also be domestic, with midterm elections due in November 2026. Trump has seen his popularity plummet, recently losing all local elections, starting with the New York mayoral race and, most surprisingly, Miami.

Democrats will do everything in their power to exploit this discontent and retaliate in Congress. So Donald Trump has 3 serious problems ahead. First, the "Epstein" case, the former billionaire convicted of sexual abuse, whose recently released photos reveal the extent of the collaboration of the American elite, including Trump himself.

Second, affordability, a term used to describe the cost of living, increasingly unaffordable for many Americans, despite the president's denials.

And third, the divisions that are tearing apart the once-great “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) camp. Trump will have only 10 months to make himself “great again.” But it won’t be easy./ Adapted from: Pamphlet

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