FLASH
Shkruar nga Daniel SerwerIn Kosovo, Vucic's overt political attempt to control the Serbian population is carried out through Lista Srpska. But he also uses the Serbian secret services and their allies in organized crime to ensure that the Serbian population, especially in the north, remains loyal to Belgrade, not Pristina...
Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic wants to control the political fate of Serbs in neighboring countries. This includes not only Bosnia and Herzegovina, but also Montenegro and Kosovo.
He is using his security and intelligence forces, funding, disinformation and the Serbian Orthodox Church to overcome resistance and ensure that serious, Western-aligned democracies do not emerge on the outskirts of Serbia.
Montenegro
He has been most successful in Montenegro, where he exploited genuine discontent with President Djukanovic and the long-ruling DPS. This resentment has fueled a pro-European opposition, which is seeking support from Belgrade and its proxies. The irony is that Djukanovic presided, with dignity, over a largely peaceful and entirely constitutional transition that is bringing his hypocritical opponents to power.
Chuang
In Kosovo, Vucic's overt political attempt to control the Serbian population is carried out through Lista Srpska. But he also uses the Serbian secret services and their allies in organized crime to ensure that the Serbian population, especially in the north, remains loyal to Belgrade, not Pristina.
We saw that combination at work on September 24, when Lista Srpska and the secret services attempted an armed uprising, but the Kosovo Police and KFOR thwarted it.
Vucic has since leaned heavily towards Russia and China. He no doubt fears that the US and Europe will demand that he apologize for the September 24 uprising and promise that it will not happen again. The media campaign against Albanians inside Serbia is intense, as is Vučić's use of the media to support his increasingly autocratic role.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
In Bosnia and Herzegovina, Vucic, Milorad Dodik has someone who is part representative and part rival. Belgrade supports Dodik's efforts to separate the Serbs from Sarajevo's authority. But Vučić will not want Dodik to fulfill his ambition to declare independence.
This would put Serbia in a difficult position. It could not recognize Republika Srpska for fear of European and American reaction. Vucic will be careful not to allow Dodik to overstep his ethno-nationalism by declaring independence and seeking the annexation of Republika Srpska by Serbia.
That said, Vucic has grown closer to Dodik as he increasingly moves into the orbit of Russia and China. Preventing successful democratic governance in Bosnia and obstructing its path to Europe are Vučić's goals. Dodik serves this purpose well, as long as he doesn't go the last mile. /Adapted 'Pamphlet' from "Peacfare"
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