FLASH
Shkruar nga Gjergj Zefi
From the Persian Gulf to global markets, the international order is sliding towards an era where fear is more important than law and force is replacing reason...
The world is not simply heading towards another crisis. It is heading towards a state where crisis is becoming a mode of governance, and war is becoming the sole instrument of politics.
Recent developments in the Persian Gulf make this evident: the strike on South Pars, the subsequent attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Saudi Arabia, as well as the sudden rise in oil prices, show that the conflict is no longer just military; it is entering the economic arteries of the world order.
This is why the question “Where is this world going?” is not rhetorical.
It is a fundamental question for an era that has begun to lose its sense of the boundary between force and reason.
When states are no longer content with striking the opponent's army, but also target gas terminals, refineries, ports, and strategic corridors, then we are no longer dealing with just a regional conflict. We are dealing with a global warning.
Ras Laffan in Qatar is a critical hub for the world's supply of liquefied natural gas, and its damage has sent international markets into a tailspin.
On the diplomatic front, the drama is even more serious than the explosions themselves.
Because what is collapsing are not just physical objects, but an entire illusion: the illusion that after years of agreements, careful rapprochements, and brokered diplomacy, the Gulf had entered a more stable phase. The Saudi foreign minister’s declaration that “trust” with Iran has disappeared is in itself an indication that the region is returning to the logic of fear, not trust. When diplomacy speaks, but no one believes its word anymore, then order is collapsing.
More disturbing than war itself is its normalization. The modern world is becoming strangely tolerant of escalation. The blows are seen, condemned for a few hours, and then absorbed as part of the “new reality.” This is a moral fatigue that no longer accepts tragedy as tragedy, but as informational routine.
Today, in many capitals, the first question is not how many lives are at stake, but how much the energy market will move tomorrow morning. The fact that Brent crossed over $119 a barrel after the attacks clearly reveals this cynical hierarchy of concerns.
This world is moving towards an order where interest is trumping law, while power is increasingly openly replacing principle.
America threatens a devastating response if its allies are affected; regional states warn of retaliation; markets tremble; diplomacy runs after events, but can no longer anticipate them. Even Donald Trump's statements, which acknowledge the attack on South Pars and warn of further consequences if Iran attacks Qatar again, speak of a security architecture that is no longer managed by rules, but by ultimatums.
In this sense, today's crisis is not just a Middle East crisis. It is a crisis of the international mindset itself. For years there has been talk of a multipolar world, of new balances, of pragmatic diplomacy. But what we are seeing is something more grim: many centers of power, but few centers of responsibility. Many actors who can light the fuse, and almost none who have the moral authority to extinguish it.
Therefore, the question is not just where this world is going. The question is even more stark: who is leading it, and with what vision? Because a world where energy becomes a target of war, where sea straits are transformed into tools of blackmail, and where relations between states are measured by the capacity for mutual harm, is not moving towards order.
It is moving towards a sophisticated uncertainty, where technology is modern, but political instinct is medieval./ Pamphlet
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