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Arjan Gjonçaj, Professor of Demography at the London School of Economics, commented on the "The Unexposed" show on MCN TV about the 2023 Census data, which was published a few days ago.
Gjoncaj said that our population continues to decline and the main reason for this is immigration, while the natural increase has decreased and births have decreased so much that it is approaching deaths, and this is where the problem of aging arises, that we have an average age of the population of 42 years old.
"We have an innovation this time, that the natural addition is getting very close. Births have fallen so much in absolute terms and it is approaching the deaths in question, even in the years of Covid-19 it changed, that is, more deaths than births. So you have both phenomena, this has created some problems that are very big, the problem of aging, we have an average age of the population of 42 years.
Those of us who have been conservative in the predictions of the aging of the population, said that the population over 65 years old would be somewhere around 17-18% and this has turned out to be more, it has turned out to be 20 percent. Why is this important? This is important because society, our population is aging at higher rates and aging as a result of immigration. So we have more old people than children and what is important is the ratio. Only here, if you stop and start digging from the political-economic-social side, you realize that aging populations come with the development of the economy, that is, in the Western world, a population ages because it has experienced a very rapid decline in fertility.
We agreed on one thing. Depopulation has come as a result of immigration. Among all demographers, it is agreed that all models have failed, from the Scandinavian model, the German model, etc. So we should not focus too much on birth policies, but on immigration.
There is stopping and returning. Prohibition will be very much a problem for the next 5 years. There's not much to go. The government should focus on development policies, employment policies, long-term support, not short-term.
Where should we focus? Are we able to stimulate some of these people to come here? And I'm not just talking about Albanians. If an Italian comes, great, because he will also learn the language.
If I were a minister, I would seek an agreement with Germany. Do you need doctors now? You will allow them to work for me for three years and then have a temporary contract", said Gjonçaj.
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