FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Starting tomorrow, the fever of Trump's second term will conquer Albania, Kosovo, and the entire world.
Tomorrow, January 20th at 12:00 (local time), the new US President Donald Trump will be inaugurated. Trump's coming to power has plunged the entire world into uncertainty about what might happen in the four years of his administration.
However, despite the uncertainties, there are also those countries that have their own expectations regarding this second term of Trump. The Western Balkans is one of the regions with the highest expectations from "Trump 2.0", due to the fact that American diplomacy has an extraordinary influence in this region. One of these countries is Albania.
What does Albania expect from Trump?
The election of Donald Trump as the next US president in November was greeted with great enthusiasm by the Albanian opposition, led by former Prime Minister Sali Berisha, who attributes the sanctions by the US and his arrest by SPAK to the Biden administration and the influence of George Soros in the country! According to Berisha, the latter's influence in cooperation with the ruling Prime Minister Edi Rama was aimed at destroying his image and eliminating the opposition.
With Trump coming to power, Berisha hopes that the US will reconsider his persona non-grata declaration and provide the necessary support to the opposition and the Democratic Party, which he leads. On the other hand, since Trump and Soros have been 'enemies', the Albanian opposition leader hopes that the Trump administration will punish the current government for its ties to Soros, in order for the party he leads to return to power.
Meanwhile, the ruling party (SP), led by Prime Minister Edi Rama, has been measured in its reactions and is apparently trying to work behind the scenes to put behind him some of Rama's critical statements and opinions about Trump's past administration.
One of the strategies used by the Albanian government is the approval as a strategic investor for President Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, who plans to build a complex of vacation homes and hotels on the Albanian island of Sazan. Despite the government's claims that this is not being done to gain political influence over Trump, suspicions and the likelihood that this statement hides much behind it are very high.
Both political sides in Albania expect changes and concessions from the new US administration. One side expects drastic changes, the other expects concessions and facilitations, regardless of the costs. However, Albania seems very far from the optics of Trump's problems, sending an ambassador to Tirana would be the first move that the new US administration should make to clearly show its interest in the country.
-What about Kosovo?
Unlike Albania, Trump's arrival is expected to bring problems for Kosovo, mainly related to the dialogue with Serbia. As has been rumored for months, Trump's election will most likely reject the entire negotiated dialogue process between Kosovo and Serbia to date. The obligation to create the Association will fall through, most likely to give way to changing the map and consequently the exchange of territories, an idea supported by the first Trump administration.
Even in the political aspect, things do not look good for Kosovo, Prime Minister Albin Kurti has refused to obey the demands of the US and the EU, over the last two years, creating discontent both at home and abroad. From this insistence of Kurti, the opposition parties expect to benefit in the February 9 elections. The opposition hopes that Trump will put a "disobedient" prime minister like Kurti with his "shoulders against the wall", so that they can then come to power.
However, this is a double-edged sword for Kosovo, given the fact that Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić has established good relations with Donald Trump. Like Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama, Vučić has left open the field for investment in Belgrade for Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner.
Kushner, funded by Saudi Arabia, has sought investment projects in both Serbia and Albania, while not visiting Bosnia or Kosovo. In short, you can expect Trump to do nothing that will jeopardize Kushner’s projects or his Saudi money. This means there will be a continued tilt toward Belgrade and away from Pristina.
However, despite all this, Trump is an unpredictable leader and many of the above-mentioned things, which remain at the level of an analysis, may never happen. But one thing is certain, from tomorrow, the fever of Trump's second term will conquer Albania, Kosovo and the whole world./ Pamphlet
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