FLASH
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The world has its eyes and is holding its breath for developments in the Middle East, after Iran's attack on Israel. Diplomatic processes are underway to prevent further escalation, with a possible retaliatory strike from Tel Aviv, as Israel's war council reconvenes today at 2pm.
The Jerusalem Post has analyzed how the Israeli side can respond to what happened over the weekend.
"What if Israel decides to respond? What if he decides to bomb Iran's nuclear program? Such a scenario had been ruled out for years, but now it is being considered how this could happen", begins the analysis of the Jerusalem Post.
According to the analysis that the Israeli newspaper is trying to do, several groups of F-35s would take off with special flight plans to strike at different points in the Islamic Republic up to 1,900 km from Israel.
According to the report, Israeli warplanes can fly along Israel's borders with Syria and Turkey - despite the protests - and then through Iraq to reach their target. Other aircraft may move through the airspace of Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf.
The arrival in Iran, according to the publication, could be done simultaneously or in waves (as Iran did by first sending drones and then ballistic missiles) to first neutralize Iran's air defenses at a few nuclear facilities which will be carefully selected by the Mossad. and the Israeli Armed Forces.
"Their mission will be to neutralize Iran's air defense, which is more sophisticated than that of Lebanon, Syria or Hamas," adds the author of the article.
In addition to the F-35s, it is estimated that the possible Israeli attack will take part in the F-15 eagles, F-16 falcons and missiles equipped with GBU-72 bombs and other F-35 missiles that can hit various targets .
The next step, according to the Jerusalem Post, could involve a second wave of fighters to penetrate deeper into Iranian territory with the ultimate goal of nuclear facilities at Fordov and Natanz.
"The IDF could also potentially use a significant number of surface-to-surface ballistic missiles that Israel possesses, as well as surveillance and attack drones," the article continues.
Alternate stroke
However, as noted in the analysis, the "core" of the facilities at Fordov is 80 meters underground, a depth that can only be reached by the "bunker buster" bombs in the arsenal of the US armed forces, which they have rejected.
However, according to the Jerusalem Post, it may not be necessary to completely destroy a facility to render it inactive, as one can choose to cut off the power supply, close the entrances and exits, and thus effectively block it from the rest of the world.
However, such an option will not be without cost "as Iran may manage to shoot down some of the Israeli fighters" although so far and despite the increased number of Israeli air operations in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza, Tel Aviv has not lost not even an F-35 and counts only the loss of an F-16 in early 2018.
The Jerusalem Post also includes Mossad agents who could participate in field operations to detect possible losses.
Israel could also strike the heavy metals reactor at Arak, the uranium conversion plant near Isfahan, the research reactors at Bonab, Ramsar or Tehran, and other facilities where Iran has moved equipment that could be used in its nuclear program. Iran's banks could also be hit
The Jerusalem Post recalls that by mid-2023, the IDF's counterintelligence service has set up a new unit with a single purpose: to collect and examine information that could lead to a massive bank strike in Iran.
The targets in this context could be the Revolutionary Guard's energy infrastructure facilities to "kneel" in the same manner used for Hamas and Hezbollah targets, adds the Jerusalem Post.
In concluding its analysis, JP notes that “the main reason Iran has not attacked for years has been the blow Jerusalem could take from Hezbollah, Hamas and hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles. "Given that most of the worst-case scenarios have already played out - including in Yemen - there seems to be far less reason for the Iran attack scenario not to play out than at any other time in decades."
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