FLASH
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The primaries or otherwise called the battles between the Republicans have just begun.
The state of Iowa voted first on January 15, and New Hampshire follows in second today. That process is expected to end in June, with final votes being held in Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico and New Jersey.
However, the competition within the Republican party, and within the US more broadly, is already looking "marginal" and the tension has grown as if we are just before the finish line.
Of all the politicians who were presented as contenders, most have already left the race. Some of them left before the primaries started like Mike Pence, Chris Christie, etc., and others just started like Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy and Eisa Hutchinson.
Donald Trump and Nikki Haley are in the running as the two remaining contenders for the Republican presidential nomination. They too, however, seem to be under pressure, each for different reasons.
The undisputed favorite among Republicans in the race for the presidency is of course the 77-year-old Trump, who won the Iowa primary with 51% and 20 electors, 20 electors which however become 32 if Ramaswamy's 3 and DeSantis' 9 are added to to.
Trump's lead is so large that many are now asking not whether he will get the nomination, but who he will have as his vice presidential running mate if he wins the presidential election next November. Names such as Elise Stefanik and Tim Scott have been floating around lately.
Ramaswamy and DeSantis have dropped out of the race, declaring their support for Trump, while the candidates exiting the primary races are the same ones who are officially giving the Republican nomination to the party's presidential nominee during the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee in July. next.
52-year-old Nikki Haley, former US ambassador to the UN and former governor of South Carolina, came third in the Iowa primary behind Trump and De Santis, with a percentage of 21.1% and 8 electors. The main thing for the 52-year-old now is to manage to stay in the presidential race with as much claim to a possible victory as possible, and to do that, she will have to perform well after the primaries. In this regard, the race in New Hampshire will be indicative, as it will reveal in practice whether Haley has a place as a candidate and against a Trump who seems to be playing without an opponent.
But the 77-year-old Trump, for his part, is not running the race he would like, since there are already other court-type scandals. Maine and Colorado ruled that Trump was ineligible to run for president because he participated in the January 6, 2021 riots.
However, Trump's team appealed and the case has now gone to the US Supreme Court. The US has allowed states to decide whether or not to exclude Trump from their ballots.
Beyond that, however, barring the attack on the Capitol by Trump supporters in January 2021, the former president and current presidential candidate faces other criminal and felony charges.
"For Trump, everything is now a matter of time. The felony charges are his biggest burden, and his legal team is now trying to delay these trials while he tries to secure the Republican Party's presidential nomination as soon as possible," Gzero notes in her analysis. In other words, time is now pushing not only Haley, but also Trump, who are facing numerous tensions within their own party. /Adapted "Pamphlet" from "Gzero"
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