FLASH
Shkruar nga Carlo Panella
After Tehran's military defeat, the American president could use this success to pursue a fragile and dangerous understanding with the Russian dictator.
Ugly clowns! If the context were not tragic, this is how the Pasdaran and the Ayatollahs in power in Iran should be defined. In 12 days of war with Israel and 2 days of war with Donald Trump, the Iranian regime has shown, as Mao Zedong would have once said, that it is a miserable “paper tiger”, capable only of making strong threats and massacring its own people, but completely incapable of defending its apocalyptic projects.
The damage of this war is merciless for the Tehran regime: no military or political objective was achieved by the 400 or more rockets launched by the Pasdaran against Israel, which only hit civilian buildings, causing 25 casualties, while 90 percent of them were neutralized in the air by the Israeli defense system.
On the other hand, all the bases of its nuclear program have been destroyed or severely damaged, although in this regard, there is somewhat more comforting news for Tehran. The leaders of the Pasdaran and the scientists who led the nuclear program have been killed, the Pasdaran general command has been destroyed, all anti-aircraft structures, the entire air fleet and a large part of the missile launch bases have been destroyed.
Moreover, the feeling of total defeat suffered was conveyed by the Iranian leadership, when it took care to warn the United States about the missiles they would launch towards their Al Udeid military base, in Doha, Qatar.
In confidence, they explained to the Americans that they were releasing them just for show, to make a fuss, without any intention of causing damage, but only to close the game and to be able to discuss at a negotiating table the terms of surrender, which they are forced to accept, although they do not say this in public.
With a hidden irony, to underline Iran's helplessness and little trick, the White House thanked the Iranians for warning them in time, for capturing all the missiles and making the military base completely safe.
At the same time, on the home front, the petty but powerless theocrats have begun the sound of drums and the competition to utter the most resonant phrases to proclaim the fable of their victory: "We have inflicted a humiliating response on the enemy, forcing him to repent!"
Another clown farce, intended to console the regime's consensus base - 20 to 30 percent of the population - who live like parasites on its profits, and who immediately took to the streets of Tehran to celebrate the victory. A painful spectacle for the dignity of a millennial people.
Meanwhile, in Israel, the undoubted and phenomenal ability to annihilate the enemy, striking only military targets, with few inevitable civilian deaths, was also commented on by all opposition leaders with some measured and non-arrogant phrases.
Now, after the consolidation of the ceasefire, the phase of negotiations begins. Then, the phase of changing mood begins, inspired by the media scene of a Trump strengthened by an undoubted victory on all fronts in the Middle East. Only fate has made the worst president in American history the author of a just and victorious war.
And this is only because it has been combined with the extraordinary capacity for fighting, war and sacrifice of the Israeli people and has changed for the better all the structures and balances of the Middle East. The first statements of the American president go in the right direction: "They will not have uranium enrichment and no nuclear weapons!"
However, there is also a not insignificant unknown factor: Trump's temptation to use this negotiation in the Middle East - in which he is clearly the winner at all levels - to recover and consolidate the close relationship with Putin towards an agreement on the war in Ukraine.
He has even started moving in this direction, declaring - in complete denial of what he himself had declared 24 hours earlier - that he "does not want a regime change in Tehran, as there would be chaos." This is the biggest danger.
In 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain signed an agreement with Adolf Hitler in Munich that favored the latter's war plans, as he did not understand the German leader's diabolical and highly aggressive nature. He believed that he was facing the leader of a normal power with normal expansionist wills.
He had no doubt about the shameful, diabolical plan of Nazism. Today Donald Trump risks making the same mistake as Chamberlain. He does not understand the aggressive nature, the big-Russian fanaticism of Vladimir Putin. He considers him a normal leader of a normal nation. But this is not the case.
So, there is a risk that Trump will accept an end to negotiations with Iran that rewards Moscow's very close and valuable ally. We should not forget the indispensable role that Iranian drones play in Moscow's war against Kiev. A terrible scenario, which cannot be ruled out knowing the current president of the United States./ Adapted from "Pamphlet" By "Linkiesta"
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