FLASH
Shkruar nga Alex Rossi
It is clear that since October 7, the red lines that were established after 2006 have not only degraded, but have been totally destroyed. So a new barrier will have to be established.
There is a great risk of a wider escalation and this is a dangerous moment in this conflict, which is already many months, almost a year in the making.
The conflict in Lebanon is the most violent series of strikes.
We do not really know the extent of the damage at the moment, but they say that there was damage to the infrastructure, water and electricity.
The second thing to watch is what Hezbollah will do next. They are describing this as the first stage of their planned revenge following the assassination of top Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr in late July.
"Will there be a second phase, or is this part of the strategy that the head of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, has talked about several times, psychological warfare, to make the enemy guess what he can or cannot do next.
But clearly, this is another inflection point. It's a big escalation. Will it move on to something else?
The specter hanging over Lebanon and Israel is what happened in 2006, when Hezbollah and Israel went to full-scale war. Will we see a repeat of those events now?
It is clear that since October 7, the red lines that were established after 2006 have not only degraded, but have been totally destroyed. So a new barrier will have to be established.
Now, is this something that can be achieved through diplomacy, or will it only be achieved through violence?
Of course there are ministers who are pushing for Israel to try to revise those red lines militarily. The defense minister said that operations in Gaza are being brought under control. They will definitely keep their forces there. They will continue to conduct operations, and the IDF will even begin its pivot towards the northern border.
From Israel's perspective, as a result of October 7 and the ongoing fighting on its northern border, they have lost sovereignty over large parts of the country as citizens have been displaced.
They had to go further south to places like Tiberius in Galilee. Israel cannot endure this for long.
Many voices say that: 'Israeli forces must come in and put an end to this'.
Of course, as far as the international community is concerned, they would like to see a diplomatic solution.
But we have had a great deal of diplomacy over the past few months, and the cross-border trade of fire between Israel and Hezbollah continues. This morning, of course, we saw that she got much worse.
The concern is that this now spirals, it escalates into a wider regional fire. This is the big risk./ Taken from "Sky News" , adapted from "Pamphlet"
Lini një Përgjigje