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The Christian Democratic Party (CDU) has emerged as the clear winner in local elections in the German state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW), the country's most populous state, representing around a quarter of Germany's total population. According to the first assessment of the results by the Infratest dimap Institute, published by public broadcaster WDR, the CDU secured 34% of the vote at state level, a minimal drop of -0.3% compared to the previous state election. The result confirms the CDU's position as the leading force, becoming the first significant electoral test for the federal government led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, after the early Bundestag elections in February 2025.
On the other hand, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) came in second with just 22.5% of the vote, a significant loss of -1.8% from the last result. For both traditional main parties, this is the worst performance in NRW's history since the foundation of the federal state in 1946, highlighting a major shift in the German political landscape. Z
The Green Party (Grüne) suffered a major setback, reaching only 11.5% of the vote, a drastic drop of -8.5% since the last election. Meanwhile, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party celebrated a strong advance, reaching 16.5% of the vote, a remarkable increase of +11.4%. This result, as expected, shows the AfD strengthening in western Germany, overtaking the Greens to become the third largest party, at a time when the party has gained support from voters dissatisfied with the central CDU-Grüne coalition at the state level.
The Left Party (Die Linke) barely managed to cross the electoral threshold with 5.5% of the vote, marking a modest increase of +1.7% compared to the last time. The Liberal Party (FDP) is not mentioned in the first estimate, but is expected to have low results, according to previous trends.
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