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Haradinaj becomes powerful where there are not enough numbers and where there is no articulate and unique opposition. Everything depends on the 500K claimed hearts of Vetëvendosje. Haradinaj seems to be ready for the challenge, and probably should have his suitcases ready too!
Where did the Chairman of the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo get the confidence to claim the position of Prime Minister of the Republic of Kosovo, after the February 9 elections?
The polls do not support the hope or, better said, the hope that he will be the first of the government again. At best, they do not show that the support for him is above 9%, which is expected to be the percentage of the electorate that can vote for him and his coalition with former Minister of Transport Fatmir Limaj. In fact, this is the optimistic version.
After returning from Washington, where he attended President Trump's inauguration and held important meetings with him and other members of the opposition, Haradinaj appeared ambitious and combative, emphasizing the fact that representatives of the government and the ruling coalition did not have any media appearances or important meetings during this ceremony, and after it, he dared to warn of the "collapse" of the Kurti government by vote and the formation of a government by the opposition, which he hopes to lead.
Where does Mr. Haradinaj, who was previously Prime Minister of Kosovo, with the same percentage of votes, but on the basis of a forced coalition, support this claim, either due to the lack of “numbers”, namely sufficient seats of the LDK to form a government. Together with the votes of minorities, especially the 10 votes guaranteed by the Ahtisaari document, for the Serbian community and with 9% of the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo, it is calculated that the united opposition (eventually) could win the mandate to form the government in the second round, after the failure of Vetëvendosje to gather the necessary “numbers” to form the government.
Mr. Haradinaj won his second term in circumstances where the coalition could not muster the numbers, so the necessary package of votes plus control over the deputies of the Serbian community, brought him the opportunity to be prime minister again.
For an outside observer who does not know the history of elections and the formation of governments in post-war Kosovo, it may seem absurd to win the mandate with 9%, but in fact, this time Haradinaj has another strong ace up his sleeve, in fact he has the common denominator of the LDK and perhaps even the PDK, he has powerful corporations and media, influencers and NGOs established on the basis of very entangled business interests in the relations between Serbia, the USA, Russia, Turkey, etc.
At President Trump's inauguration, there was also a businessman who was seen sitting with the leaders of the current opposition in Kosovo. The same one has also been invited to rallies of the LDK, which claims to have the most attractive program for businesses, including strong privatizations in the public sector.
So, most likely, Shkelqim Devolli visited the US on the occasion of the inauguration of President Donald Trump, not only for his businesses, but also to lobby the opposition for changes. During this visit, he held several high-level meetings with US officials, including Senators Ted Cruz and Dave McCormick, Texas Governor Greg Abbott, and Congressman Peter Sessions, the future US Ambassador to NATO, Matthew Whitaker, the incoming CIA chief, etc. He also requested the continued attention of the US administration to Kosovo and the region, as well as economic and trade cooperation between Kosovo and the US, making clear political interests.
When it is clear that politics is an interest, at least in a democracy and a balance of the interests of businesses and citizens, respectively individuals and the nation, then, from outside Kosovo, there are many voices that this coalition would have been their preference and it seems that the Devolli corporation would appoint the leader of this coalition, which it thinks has the capacity to oppose the politics and why not even the nationalist and leftist ideology of Vetëvendosje.
During his two terms, Haradinaj resigned to face international justice. He had won both terms with a package of votes that would otherwise have been irrelevant. Now, he claims again that he is the favorite of the internationals, especially the US, compared to Albin Kurti, who according to him "is ruining us with the internationals."
Strong ties to the military lobby, tendencies towards authoritarian leadership, may seem to be of interest again to the scattered Kosovar opposition which, without the security capacities of some former KLA commanders and without some powerful corporations, could hardly lead even their parties, let alone the country's institutions.
So, if Vetvendosje fails to win over 50% of the votes on its own, the possibility of an opposition government is technically real. But how realistic is it politically?
Will it have the support of businesses that benefited from many concessions during the Haradinaj 2 government? Will it have the support of the international factor, especially the military lobby in the US, and finally, will it have the influence it once had on the Serbska list, if it once again dominates convincingly among the deputies of the Serbian community?
In any case, equally powerful interests likely led Haradinaj to surrender to the Court by handing over his mandate. A third term still presents itself as an opportunity but also as a challenge for him.
Haradinaj already has a great deal of experience in politics and knows very well the conjunctures and mechanisms of global and regional politics that also move the political scene in Kosovo. His ambition is strong, the challenges are obvious. Haradinaj becomes powerful where there are not enough numbers and where there is no articulated and unique opposition. Everything depends on the 500K alleged hearts of Vetëvendosje. Haradinaj seems to be ready for the challenge, and probably should also have his suitcases ready!/ Pamphlet
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