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Democratic President Joe Biden ranks behind Republican front-runner Donald Trump in five of the six most important states for the electoral battle, a year before the United States elections. The polls released on Sunday appear to reflect dissatisfaction among Americans about President Biden's age or the state of the economy.
The polls were conducted by The New York Times newspaper and Siena College. Mr. Trump, who is leading the Republican nomination for the party's 2024 nomination, leads in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while President Biden leads in Wisconsin. President Biden defeated former President Trump in six of these states in the 2020 election. Mr. Trump now averages 44-48% support in these states, polls say.
WHAT DO THESE RESULTS MEAN?
Although polls gauging likely votes nationally have consistently shown a close race between Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump, presidential elections are normally determined by results in a few so-called swing states.
Mr. Biden's victories in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — all swing states that Mr. Trump won in 2016 — were crucial to his victory in 2020. Mr. Biden will probably need to win in some of these states to ensure re-election.
THE ELECTORAL CAMPAIGN OF PRESIDENT BIDEN REACTS
"Forecasts a year ago usually look different a year later. Don't just take our word for it: Gallup predicted an 8% loss for President Obama, while he won in a landslide a year later," Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz said in a statement, referring to the victory. of Democrat Barack Obama in 2012, against Republican Mitt Romney.
Mr. Munoz added that President Biden's election campaign "is working hard to engage and mobilize our diverse and winning voter base, a year ahead of the choice between our winning popular agenda, and the unpopular extremism of MAGA Republicans (Movement of former President Trump: "Making America Great Again"). We will win in 2024 by keeping our heads down and working, not worrying about a poll."
Polls show that President Biden's multi-racial and multi-generational coalition appears to be weakening.
Voters under the age of 30 support Mr. Biden, now 80, by just one percent more. His lead among Hispanic voters has fallen to a single-digit lead, and his advantage in urban areas is half of Mr. Trump's lead in rural areas, the polls show.
African-American voters, a core demographic segment among Mr. Biden's supporters, already show 22% support in these states for Mr. Trump, a level of support that The New York Times says has not been seen in politics for a Republican candidate in modern times. .
"I was worried before these polls and I'm worried now," Richard Blumenthal, a Democratic senator from Connecticut, told CNN.
"No one will have easy choices here... It has become clear to us the work we have to do", added Senator Blumenthal./ VOA
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