FLASH
Shkruar nga PamfletiThe Israeli attack was once again beyond "reason" for allies, enemies, and "neutrals." The airstrike on Qatar in the manner it has struck Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Gaza speaks volumes, especially if what you want to achieve does not fit into the "traditional" division of friends and enemies. Israel has put both Saudi Arabia and, most importantly, the US in an extremely difficult position.
Israel, in the almost three years from October 2023 until yesterday, has bombed five Middle Eastern capitals. The 10 Israeli missiles on Doha may not have found their target and the five Hamas leaders may not have lost their lives, but Israel is now in a position to profit from even such failed attempts.
The main issue for Netanyahu and his government was not only the death of five more members of the jihadist organization that bled the lands of 2023, but to convey in the strongest and clearest way the message, especially to Qatar, that "no one is out of range and no one is safe as long as we are not."
Tel Aviv has carried out attacks such as the one with Hezbollah bombers in Lebanon or the 12-day attacks on Tehran's air defense positions and nuclear program, which in the not too distant future will be in the right hands of action movies that will break the box office all over the world... Yesterday's one will not be included in this list, but it may be more structural for the next step that the country has planned.
Qatar is not just a country that has been leading negotiations with Hamas since 2023, nor a country that has anything in common with those who for decades have joined what Tel Aviv considers the axis of evil and the long arm of Tehran. Yes, Israel may not have the best relations with Qatar, but both the delegations and the discussions of all levels of Netanyahu in Doha always had one or even more than one good reason for the hosts...
The "worry" of a trillion and the window of opportunity
The Israeli attack was once again beyond "reason" for allies, enemies, and "neutrals." The airstrike on Qatar in the manner it has struck Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Gaza speaks volumes, especially if what you want to achieve does not fit into the "traditional" division of friends and enemies. Israel has put both Saudi Arabia and, most importantly, the US in an extremely difficult position.
Donald Trump was in Doha on the weekend of May 14 and 15 and not only made "personal" moves, but also "loaded" his Air Force One with investments from Qatar exceeding $1 trillion.
Israel has clearly demonstrated that even this is not an obstacle to what it has planned and will implement it at all costs. The Israeli move is likely to bring about "retaliation" behind the scenes from Trump - retaliation that is unlikely to amount to significant sanctions despite the fact that the Israeli missiles fell a short distance from the largest American air base in the entire region. Israel knows that it has the freedom to do what it wants even if the "window of opportunity" that has opened up to it is gradually closing with actions like yesterday's.
Ceasefire in question?
Israel's attack did not find its target and the remaining Hamas members were not killed, but what appears to be "dying" is any hope for an agreement with Israel.
Realistically and without a diplomatic perspective, who among those participating in the group that wants a ceasefire to be signed and for there to finally be an end to the war and death in Gaza can not only sign, but also show up somewhere for this specific development to happen?
For the foreseeable future, it will be extremely unlikely that we will have any appearance, even with security guarantees from the US, of Hamas members making any progress. The fact that its members were not killed will give them a new impetus in the "narrative" that they will emerge victorious... Israel, which apparently has no intention of settling for anything less than the elimination of Hamas, the handover of hostages alive and dead, and absolute control responsibility in Gaza and the occupied West Bank the day after a deal, has ensured that there will be ample time to do what it has announced again inside the Palestinian enclave.
Ankara, Netanyahu's next target
What Israel is doing and the way it chooses to do it, in particular, show a clear tendency towards escalation without it being entirely clear who Netanyahu's next target is. Ankara is today declared the only pole that "fulfills" these specifications. Turkey remains the great adversary and thorn in Syria, Recep Erdogan has openly offered "asylum" and "shelter" to Hamas and it is Ankara that today has not suffered any of the "countermeasures" that Israel has no problem now trying to send towards the side it will target. Syria, from the moment of Assad's fall onwards, has been, based on what the protagonists in the region themselves emphasize in each case, the "ideal" point for a strong "settling of scores".
Damascus is not "far" from Tel Aviv or Ankara, and it remains to be seen when, in what way and how Israel or Turkey will choose to further open the big bag of crisis and war./ Protothema.gr
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