FLASH
Shkruar nga Federico Ferraù
The new Russian nuclear doctrine is a response to the escalation policy of the Western bloc. It is a disturbing fact, but one that has not managed to penetrate our public opinion.
The new Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, made a surprise visit to Kiev, to assure him of the alliance's support, and to reiterate the pledge that Ukraine should be part of it. A promise that seems to go dangerously well with the real strategy of the Ukrainian leadership: to create all possible conditions for a direct engagement of NATO against Russia.
Meanwhile, the Russians recently occupied the town of Vuhledar in the Donetsk region. "The operation of the Ukrainians in Kursk unnecessarily sacrificed precious forces, which would have been very useful in Donbass," says Maurizio Boni, general of the Italian Army Corps and analyst for the "Analysis Difesa" portal. For Boni, the occupation of Vuhledar is very important, and reveals Moscow's objective: to enter the next strategic city of Pokrovsk, before the presidential elections in the USA and then Dnipro.
General, can Mark Rutte follow a different strategic course than Stoltenberg?
It won't change anything. Rutte is in charge of NATO because he is liked by the United States. And it is no coincidence that the first official visit took place in Kiev.
Should we fear an even more aggressive approach from him?
Of course, there is a line of thought that supports a war with Moscow, which is reflected in the desire to hit Russia with long-range weapons. The new Russian nuclear doctrine is a response to the escalation policy of the Western bloc. It is a disturbing fact, but one that has not managed to penetrate our public opinion.
What is he?
According to Ukrainian television, RezidentUA, on September 21 Andriy Jermak, President Zelensky's chief of staff, stated that Ukraine's main task is to directly involve NATO in a war with Russia. According to Jermak, this attitude would guarantee his country membership in NATO and winning the war. Again according to Jermak, this is the only possible scenario, since Ukraine itself no longer has enough resources to continue the conflict.
A clear admission that escalation is their real goal...
The Ukrainian leadership says: since we cannot continue to resist a long war, we must find ways to escalate the conflict and provoke the Kremlin. It is a strategy driven by neo-conservatives in Washington, who do not want to admit defeat on the battlefield, and to induce public opinion to believe that the only possible solution to win the war is to strike Russian territory.
However, can we expect changes?
At least until the November 5 presidential election in the USA, NATO will not change its approach. Until now, the Pentagon has always been skeptical. It's more the Biden administration that won't give up. It must be said that the "victory plan" presented by Zelensky in Washington did not convince American decision makers. So it is unlikely that they will allow the escalation of the conflict.
Can't the British support the Ukrainian plan?
The British would like to do so, but cannot undertake initiatives of such magnitude without Washington's approval.
The new European commissioners of the Baltic area, namely Kaja Kallas (responsible for foreign policy), the reconfirmed Valdis Dombrovskis (for the economy) and Andrius Kubilius (for defense), are all very radical towards Russia. How can they influence future events?
It's a disturbing setup, showing us that Europe is an essential part of NATO's Ukraine project. Borrell, who will hand over the baton to Kalla, has always supported the need to strike Russian territory, embracing the approach of Stoltenberg and some NATO countries such as Britain, Poland and the Baltic states. Before being appointed commissioner, the Lithuanian Kubilius declared for a media of his country, that the EU should not be afraid to go to war against Russia, because Putin is a coward and will not do anything of what he threatens.
These are at least careless statements...
Yes, they aim to escalate the conflict. Not to mention another very important political problem. Estonia, the country of Callas, has half the population of Rome; while the Lithuania of Kubilius has roughly the population of Rome.
In Kursk, the Ukrainian offensive seems to have stopped, while in Donetsk, the Russians have occupied the strategic city of Vuhledar. What do these developments mean?
In Kursk, the situation is back in Russia's control. As expected by most, the sudden Ukrainian counterattack needlessly sacrificed precious forces that would have been very useful in the Donbass, where we are seeing a systematic collapse of the Ukrainian front and defenses.
Vuhledar was the third pillar, along with Avdiivka and Bakhmut, of a possible defense line of Donbass. After the fall of these bastions, the Ukrainian defense lines are already very weak, while the supply lines are regularly hit by the Russian army.
What does this mean?
This means that the fate of the Ukrainian front is already sealed. Also because Vuhledar is the connecting point between the front in Donbass and the Zaporizhzhya sector in the south. Achieving the connection of Russian forces engaged from Zaporizhzhia to the north with those operating from Donbass to the west could lead to a major encirclement of Ukrainian forces.
Why are the Russians bombing Western Ukraine with greater intensity and frequency lately?
The identification of military objectives is basically based on two criteria. The first is about targets on the front line, and the second is about those in depth. Hitting the latter - military bases, warehouses, depots where Western weapons and equipment are shipped - means damage to everything that supports Kiev's war. It is estimated that 74 percent of Ukraine's energy infrastructure is currently out of order.
What could be Moscow's territorial objective?
In my opinion, the arrival and control of the city of Pokrovsk before the election day in the USA and then in Dnipro. Pokrovsk is the main artery of logistical support for Ukrainian forces in Donbass. If the Russians go in there, and that doesn't seem too difficult, there will be huge spaces for Russian armored and mechanized forces./ Adapted "Pamphlet" From "Il Sussidiario"
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