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As the Republican presidential primary draws closer, many conservative voters aren't sure their votes will be counted fairly, according to a new poll by the Associated Press and NORC. with public affairs research. The poll says that pessimism about the future of both parties, Democrats and Republicans, is growing.
About a third of Republicans say they have "a lot" or "somewhat" confidence that the votes in the primary elections within their party will be counted correctly. About three in 10 Republicans have a "moderate" amount of trust, and 32% say they have "little" or "no" trust in the party's election process. On the other hand, 72% of Democrats have high confidence that their party will count the votes correctly in the primaries. Democrats also have more confidence than Republicans that the count within the conservative party is accurate.
Republicans continue to view vote counting with suspicion — both in intra-party races and those with political opponents. About a quarter of Republicans say they have "some" confidence that votes in the 2024 presidential election will be counted accurately, significantly less than Democrats. Overall, nearly half of American adults (46%) believe the same, which is consistent with another Associated Press and NORC poll conducted in June.
The skepticism among Republicans comes after long-running allegations by former President Donald Trump that, without providing evidence, he blames what he calls election fraud for his loss in 2020. Federal and state election officials and himself The attorney general appointed by former President Trump has said there is no credible evidence that the election was rigged. The former president's fraud charges were also rejected by courts, including by judges appointed by Mr. Trump himself.
"Nothing is going to be fair because the last election was rigged," said Julie Duggan, 32, of Chicago, a Mr. Trump voter, referring to 2020. "I don't trust any of them at this point."
The survey also found widespread lack of trust in both major political parties among US adults overall.
About a quarter of American adults say they have "only a little" or "not at all" confidence that the Democratic Party or the Republican Party has a fair process for selecting a presidential candidate.
Almost half of US adults, or 46% of respondents, say they are pessimistic about how the country's leaders are chosen.
A similar number are pessimistic about the future of the Republican Party. This includes a third of Republicans and 45% of independents. The poll found that 45% of American adults are pessimistic about the future of the Democratic Party, including about a quarter of Democrats and 41% of independents.
"(I'm unhappy with) The way they're spending our money, sending it all over the world and not protecting our people here in the United States of America," said Gary Jackson, a 65-year-old retired truck driver. and Republican voter in the state of Idaho. "At the moment, I am not satisfied by either party."
Christine Allen, an independent voter in the state of Maryland, sees her state's last governor, Larry Hogan, a moderate Republican, as a role model for the country. Mr. Hogan declined to get involved in the Republican Party primaries, which Ms. Allen sees as symbolic of how America's two-party system prevents talented leaders from holding office.
"Everyone now acts like a bunch of kids until they find themselves," says 44-year-old Allen. "Everyone is guilty. There are no winners."
Still, Ms. Allen thinks the primaries will be fair. "They are fairer than the Electoral College (which determines the winner of the presidential election)," she said.
Even those who identify themselves as voters of one or the other party are worried about who their political organizations will propose as a candidate for president. A recent Associated Press and NORC poll found that Democrats and Republicans are also unsure that their party's primary races will result in a candidate who can win the general election in November. Moreover, there is some doubt on both sides that the non-primary candidates will represent the views of their party, or of Americans in general.
Only three in 10 Democrats say they are confident the Democratic party process will result in a candidate whose views represent the majority of Americans. About a quarter of Democrats believe the process will produce a candidate whose views represent their own. Similar to Democrats, only three in 10 Republicans say their party's process will produce a candidate who represents the majority of Americans. Just as many Republicans believe they will be offered a candidate whose views represent their own conservative positions.
Mark Richards, a 33-year-old high school teacher in Toledo, Ohio, and a Democratic voter, said he expects President Joe Biden to win the party's nomination again, despite his low support in recent polls.
"I believe there could be a better candidate than him, but I don't think another Democrat is going to unseat Joe Biden," Mr. Richards said.
Although Mr. Richards believes the primaries will be fair and the votes will be counted accurately, he sees the nomination system as fundamentally flawed. "It's about money, who can get the most money from political supporters," he said, referring to political groups that donate money to candidates or spend millions of dollars on their behalf.
The poll of 1,074 adults was conducted from November 30 to December 4, 2023. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percent./ VOA
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