FLASH
Shkruar nga PamfletiSince 2013, Edi Rama has been politically fed every day by internationals. But the story that Nassim Taleb brings in his book "The Black Swan" warns us: when you think everything is under control, a catastrophe comes that you have never seen before. And it is coming...
In the book that has shocked economists, politicians and corporate leaders around the world, Taleb presents a simple but brutal metaphor: a rooster is fed every day by its owner and each day is convinced that its life is safe. But on the 1,001st day, without warning, the butcher arrives.
Edi Rama has already spent 4,000 days in power. Since his first day as Prime Minister, he has taken care to build a careful relationship with internationals: humble in Brussels, smiling in New York, sophisticated in Paris and twisted in Tirana. He has created the illusion that he is a "strategic partner", but in fact he has built a model that feeds on image, not values.
For more than a decade, the West has turned a blind eye, in the name of “regional stability”. Rama has understood this gap and turned it into an art of manipulation. He has promoted reforms that exist only in “PowerPoint” or “AI” and in embassy reports, but not in the lives of Albanian citizens. He has controlled the media, the judiciary, tenders, the opposition and elections, while talking about functional democracy in front of diplomats.
The internationals, for their own strategic reasons, have chosen to remain silent. Not because they don't know who Edi Rama is. Not because they don't have information about the systemic corruption, his connections with sanctioned oligarchs, his control of the media and his total capture of the state. They have simply chosen pragmatism. They have tolerated, but they have not forgotten.
And this is where "Black Swan" comes into play.
According to Taleb, events that change history do not occur through processes we know, but through explosions we have never seen before. They happen suddenly, come from the wrong direction, and overturn any political calculations. As happened with the coup in Turkey, with Brexit, with the pandemic, with the attack on the Capitol, with the arrest of Hashim Thaçi. Events that no one predicted, but that everyone later claimed to have understood.
Edi Rama is today in that dangerous phase where he thinks he has bought the West's silence. That his cynical jokes in international forums are a guarantee. That diplomacy works with selfies, not standards. That as long as there are no major scandals, everything moves forward. But he is gravely mistaken. The West has not forgotten. He waits.
The butcher comes on the 1001st day, not because there is hatred, but because it is part of the cycle. Just as a harsh report comes from the State Department, just as a classified file comes from a European office, just as a SPAK prosecutor goes off script and decides to go to the bottom of a file that involves the people closest to the prime minister.
The Black Swan is not just a metaphor. It is what happens to a leader who has built all his power on the idea of absolute control. And Edi Rama, today, is in exactly this phase: he controls everything, but he no longer controls anything.
No one sees the end when they are at the top. And no one believes the end when they are surrounded by money, applause, diplomats and analysts. But history does not ask for perception. Albania is very close to the biggest political shake-up it has seen in these 30 years.
The 1001st day is coming. /Pamphlet
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