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Shkruar nga Sadri Ramabaja
In Western diplomatic circles, even in the top mechanisms of NATO, are looking for ways to end the war in Ukraine through a territorial exchange with Russia in exchange for the preservation of Ukraine's international subjectivity and security.
The Italian newspaper 'La Repubblica' reported on April 6 about plans to end the war; their realization would make Ukraine give up territories occupied by Russia in exchange for immediate NATO membership.
Many experts see this proposal, which was informally discussed at the last NATO summit, as a possible solution to end the war, the newspaper in question writes. The German newspaper Bild also reported on this proposal.
Last Thursday [April 4], the US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, made it clear at the meeting in Brussels that Ukraine will become a member of NATO. He emphasized that the purpose of the summit was to build a bridge for this membership. Blinken said that support for Ukraine remains strong among the alliance's member states.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg made a similar statement, stressing the importance of ensuring that Ukraine's pledge to join NATO is fulfilled.
The Secretary General of NATO, Jens Stoltenberg, on this occasion clearly warned that the efforts to support Ukraine could fail.
If it is not possible to mobilize more aid, there is a real risk that Russia will occupy even more Ukrainian territory, Stoltenberg warned on Thursday after a meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels.
It is no coincidence, according to La Repubblica, "that Blinken and Stoltenberg are choosing such words now"; they should be understood as a reference to a new approach by the Western allies to end the war in Ukraine.
The breakup of Ukraine - a byproduct of the West's absent geopolitical agenda
Like the appearance of Ukraine on the scene as an independent state within the process of the disintegration of the Soviet Union, and the massive Russian aggression on February 24, 2022, are historical moments that deserve the attention of researchers of geopolitical thought. In this sense, we can say that the independence of Ukraine, which was an event that changed the geopolitical landscape of Europe, as well as the aggression against it, endangers the change of eras in the modern history of the continent.
According to Zbigniew Brzezinsk, the emergence of Ukraine as an independent state was one of the most important geopolitical developments of the 20th century.
The first development was the collapse of the Austro-Hungarian Empire in 1918.
The second was the division of Europe into two blocs in 1945. The emergence of Ukraine as an independent state can be considered as one of these historical developments.
The Russian insistence to prevent Ukraine from playing its role on the international stage, especially now at the beginning of the coming new world order, of course that role that would also be in its national interest, speaks of the weight of this conflict on the global level .
In search of its geopolitical position, Ukraine after 2014, when it lost Crimea within a few days, it was also looking for a partnership with Perednim, hoping that it would be able to stop the Russian march.
In relations between states, national interest plays a central role. The French philosopher Claude Adrien Helvétius in this context emphasized that "if the physical world is subject to the law of motion, the spiritual world is no less subject to the law of interest. On Earth, interest is the all-powerful magician who changes the appearance of any object in the eyes of all beings. Interest is at the center of people's attention and behavior, but also of society, respectively the state. Without interest, there is no economic or social development and prosperity. And since the foreign policy of the state is built on the basis of its national interests, then understanding and defining the national interests of such a young state as Ukraine is extremely important. For this reason, the construction and realization of the national interest remains very complex since objective and subjective factors play a significant role in this process. In this historical context, therefore, for the leaders of Ukraine, this role is crucial.
Only the proper care of the balance of national interests related to the determination of priorities at the level of internal policy with those of foreign policy can contribute to finding the right paths for the development of foreign policy in accordance with these interests. In this confrontation, the interests of a geopolitical character currently play a primary role for Ukraine.
This approach brings us back to the beginnings of the analysis of the international environment put forward in 1904 by the English researcher H. Mackinder, justifying the role of geographical factors related to political factors that together determine historical fate. He testified that mineral resources, access to the sea, climate, configuration of borders, neighboring countries, etc. - all these aspects are of great importance in foreign policy planning.
To have the idea and geopolitical position of Ukraine clearer, it is necessary to emphasize that Ukraine is geographically located in the eastern part of Europe. However, Zbigniew Brzezinski points out that "restoring the status of a Central European state corresponds to Ukraine's long-term interests...
But for Ukraine, as time is proving, the north-eastern flank - relations with Russia and other countries remain vital. It is also determined by Ukraine's economic interests, as well as historical ones. However, the southern wing is significant for the geopolitical dimension.
Even now, when Ukraine is in its third year of intense fighting, as a major European state, it continues to be treated as an important factor for building peace and stability in Europe, regardless of the high price it may pay for this.
If on the eve of the Russian annexation of Crimea, a kind of identity indeterminacy prevailed in the Ukrainian political scene - political forces fluctuated between two centers of geopolitical influence, namely between Russia and the West, it is currently in the status of a "buffer zone" outside the integrating spaces that are are formed in the new Europe. The granting of the status of a candidate country in the EU and the discussions on Ukraine's accession to NATO now that there is a lack of will to face Russia properly, speaks volumes for Ukraine's position. Changing this position, it seems, will have multiple costs.
Meanwhile, on the other hand, the goal of Putin's policy continues to be what it was: to eliminate Ukraine as a sovereign, independent, Western-oriented state. And this he claims to do in stages. This is part of the concept of imperialist policy of Russia.
Putin wants to go down in history as the ruler who made Russia a great imperial power again and who restored Russian dominance over countries that were once part of the Soviet Union's dominion. For more than ten years, the Russian population and especially the youth have been indoctrinated in the spirit of imperial expansion and the glorification of war. Putin has been mentally preparing Russian society for war for a long time. (Continued...) Pamphlet
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