FLASH
Shkruar nga Vladislav Davidzon
"If you come for the king, don't miss!" (If you go for the king, don't miss it!)
This statement made it clear that Wagner's rebellion had failed, but it also made it abundantly clear that there would be consequences for Prigozhy and Wagner's top aides who were involved in the uprising against the Russian state.
Putin, as everyone knows, is extremely unforgiving about betrayal.
Many of us asked each other what exactly Prigozhin possessed that was so useful to the regime that he could assume he was safe. The most logical assumption, outside of the kompromat, was that Wagner was very powerful and important within Russia's operations in Africa, and that he could not very easily be replaced as CEO of the corporation and its many subsidiaries without incurring transaction costs and losses for the Kremlin. .
This answer has now been proven incorrect. Putin and the regime he oversees were so wounded that a very public example had to be made. Along with Surovik being removed from his command for allegedly knowing what was coming, the apparent assassination of the rogue mercenary leader will send an unmistakable message to the Russian military and the general population: If you come for the king, don't miss out (and even if you do make a deal, don't expect to survive the next six months). In the long term, the apparent killing is likely to further worsen morale among Wagner's remaining men and likely mean that the mercenary organization has no future outside the direct command of the Russian Ministry of Defense. None of this, however, makes the cohesion of the Russian state seem particularly great.
* Vladislav Davidzon is a fellow at the Eurasia Center of the Atlantic Council. As of 2018, he has served as co-producer for a television series on the effects of the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
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