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Polls show that Biden's campaign has been recovering for months. His immigration policy was unpopular. Even though inflation was falling and the economy was growing, voters still blamed him for higher prices. His continued support for Israel in the Gaza war affected his support among young voters.
Kamala Harris' "honeymoon" calls for interruption by Republicans, who have already begun tweaking their campaign, which initially targeted Joe Biden after the latter made the decision to step down and hand the reins to his vice president for the Democratic nomination.
After the initial shock, Trump's communications staff began to regroup on the grounds that the "honeymoon" the US vice president appears to be enjoying will not last long and that American voters will quickly turn their backs on her once they understand her policies. that they want to implement.
The weight of the attacks is concentrated in three areas, while the attitude of the Democrats and the way they react to them is of interest, as reported by the BBC. At the same time, the role of the vice president he chooses will be decisive, which will be done by early August.
The pain of Harris' failed 2020 Democratic presidential campaign comes back to haunt him. They include a lack of clear messaging, a campaign riddled with infighting and a candidate prone to awkward interviews and gaffes. She — like many of the candidates in that race — shifted sharply to the left, to connect more with Democratic primary voters.
"There was a lot of pressure on these guys from the activist base," said Matt Bennett, executive vice president for public affairs at Third Street, a centrist Democratic think tank. "When you're running in a primary, your political priorities are very different than when you're running to the finish line in a general election."
During 2019, Harris advocated for the abolition of private health insurance in favor of a government system. He advocated for police reform, including redirecting law enforcement budgets to other priorities. He endorsed decriminalizing undocumented entry into the U.S. and considered abolishing ICE, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency.
Harris' connection to Biden
Polls show that Biden's campaign has been recovering for months. His immigration policy was unpopular. Even though inflation was falling and the economy was growing, voters still blamed him for higher prices. His continued support for Israel in the Gaza war affected his support among young voters.
Harris, in her role as vice president, will be at least somewhat tied to the entirety of the current administration's actions — for better or for worse.
Indeed, Republicans are already trying to hang the immigration issue around his neck, calling him the administration's "border czar." They cite her past statements on immigration and a claim, during a 2022 interview, that "the border is secure."
"Kamala Harris is currently known only as a failed and unpopular vice president who stabbed her boss to secure a nomination she couldn't win, but voters are about to learn that things get worse," reported Taylor Badovitz, who directs the political action. committee associated with the Trump campaign, in a statement announcing $32 million in future television ads targeting the vice president.
According to Bennett, Harris won't be able to completely distance herself from Biden's record, but she may be able to put him in a new light for voters, even in the face of Republican attacks.
"What he can do is make it about the future in ways that would be very difficult for an 81-year-old man," he says. "He could argue that Trump only wants to look back."
Attack on her "history" as a prosecutor
At the first public rally of her campaign, Ms. Harris unveiled a particularly sharp line of attack against the former president. Noting that she had served as a trial prosecutor and as California's attorney general, she said she had gone up against "criminals of all kinds."
"So hear me out when I say that I know the type of Donald Trump," he concluded.
Craig Varoga, a Democratic consultant and professor at American University, calls the vice president's police background a "superpower" — one she hasn't been able to fully use in the 2019 Democratic campaign as she might respond. His campaign manager, Chris LaCivita, appeared in the Republican Party taking the supposed superpower of a Democratic candidate and turning it against him, as he had done with John Kerry in 2004.
A decisive race
Harris and her campaign certainly won't sit idly by, they'll work to deliver their own definition of who the candidate is and what she stands for.
The election of the candidate for vice president will have its importance.
"It's the first real decision a presidential candidate makes that the public needs to see," Varoga said. "This will greatly help the world to understand what kind of future it will be."
If she chooses a more moderate running mate, that could lead voters to believe she will govern from the center rather than as the left-wing candidate that Republicans are portraying.
In the end, the only deciding factor will be the outcome of the vote in November, as it will then be seen whether Harris wins the Americans or suffers another defeat./ BBC
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