FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Exports have continued with the negative performance even during the month of July, influenced by the weak results of the groups of minerals and fuels, food products and textiles and shoes, influenced by the devaluation of the euro and by the drop in prices due to overproduction in Europe for the products agricultural. The deep decline has been cushioned somewhat by the good performance of the construction materials group.
According to INSTAT data, in July 2024 exports of goods reached the value of 33 billion ALL, decreasing by -12.0%, compared to the same period a year ago and by -4.1%, compared to June 2024.
The pace of decline has accelerated again compared to June, when the contraction was 8.9%. In May, the contraction on an annual basis was 12.4%. In April 2024, exports of goods had increased for the first time in many months by 1.8% on an annual basis. In March, exports had shrunk by 21%, in February by -16.1% and in January by 29.2%.
During the month of July 2024, the reduction of exports by -12.0% was influenced by the following groups: "Minerals, fuel and electricity" with -11.3 percentage points, "Textiles and shoes" with -4.0 percentage points, "Food, drinks, tobacco" with -0.7 percentage points, etc. The following groups have had a positive impact: "Construction materials and metals" with +3.0 percentage points, "Chemical and plastic products" with +1.4 percentage points, etc.
For the seventh month, exports have recorded a strong contraction. According to INSTAT, in this seven-month period, exports of goods reached the value of 233 billion ALL, decreasing by -14.5%.
For the 7th month, the Groups that have influenced the annual decrease in exports are: "Minerals, fuel and electricity" with -6.0 percentage points, "Textiles and shoes" with -5.2 percentage points, "Construction materials and metals" with -2.2 percentage points, etc. The group: "Chemical and plastic products" had a positive impact with +0.1 percentage points, etc.
Textiles and footwear in distress
In July, exports of textiles and footwear, the largest exporting group in the country, fell by 13.2%. For the 7th month, textile-shoe exports were 65.3 billion ALL, with a contraction of 17.8% on an annual basis.
The industry continues to suffer the consequences of many factors, such as the increase in costs that has caused partners to move to the Middle East, reducing orders, and especially the devaluation of the euro, which reduces their income when converted to lek.
For the period January-July 2023, one euro was exchanged for 112 ALL on average, according to the exchange rate of the Bank of Albania, while for the same period of this year it is exchanged for 102 ALL, or almost 10% less.
This situation is forcing many factories to close, according to announcements from the Association of Exporters.
Minerals, fuels fall significantly
“Minerale, lëndë djegëse, energji” ishte grupi i dytë më i madh në vend. Në korrik, ky grup iu rikthye tkurrjes së fortë me 44.1%. Ky grup ndikohet nga ecuria e Bankers Petroleum, eksportuesi më i madh në vend dhe nga tregtimi i energjisë elektrike, që lidhet me motin. Për 7 mujorin, ky grup shënoi eksporte me vlerë gati 44 miliardë lekë, me tkurrje 27%. Në korrik, eksportet drejt Spanjës që është destinacioni kryesor i Bankës Petroleum u tkurrën me 53%.
Materiale ndërtimi dhe metale me rritje të fortë
“Materialet e ndërtimit dhe metalet” ishin grupi i tretë më të madh në vend për 7 mujorin. Ky grup ndikohet nga ecuria e Kurum, përpunuesit të çelikut, që është një nga eksportuesit më të mëdhenj në vend. Në korrik ky grup përmirësoi ndjeshëm shitjet, me një rritje prej 21.3%. megjithatë për 7 mujorin, sektori është me një rënie prej 8.4%.
Tkurrje e fortë për Ushqime pije e duhan nga rënia e çmimeve
“Ushqime pije e duhan”, një nga grupet me ecurinë më të mirë vitet e fundit ka shënuar ecurinë më negative edhe në korrik, ndonëse me ritme më të ngadalësuara, duke rëne me 5.6% në korrik, nga 32% që ishte tkurrja në qershor. Për 7 mujorin, ky grup ka rënë me 9.4%.
Eksportuesit pohojnë se tkurrja lidhet kryesisht me rënien e çmimeve për shkak të mbiprodhimit, ndërsa sasitë e eksportuara vijojnë të jenë të larta. Këtë vit ka pasur superprodhim në të gjithë Mesdheun, të nxitura nga çmimet e larta dhe moti i favorshëm, duke bërë që të ketë ofertë të lartë në Europë.
Makineri, pajisje, pjesë këmbimi dëmtohen nga euro
“Makineri, pajisje, pjesë këmbimi” ishin grupi tjetër që shfaqi ecuri të mirë vitet e fundit, si rrjedhojë e hyrjes së fabrikave që montonin pjesë për industrinë automotive. Por edhe ky grup po vuan nga zhvlerësimi i euros, rritja e kostove dhe mungesa e fuqisë punëtore. Në korrik eksportet ranë me 4.5%, ndërsa për 7 mujorin tkurrja është 7.7%.
Thellohet deficiti
Në këtë shtatëmujor eksportet e mallrave arritën vlerën 233 mld lekë, duke u ulur me -14,5%, ndërkohë importet e mallrave arritën vlerën 526 mld lekë, duke u rritur me 3,2 %, krahasuar me një vit më parë. Deficiti tregtar arriti vlerën 293 mld lekë, duke u rritur me 23,6%, krahasuar me të njëjtën periudhë të 2023.
Në Korrik 2024 eksportet e mallrave arritën vlerën 33 mld lekë, duke u ulur me -12,0%, në krahasim me të njëjtën periudhë të një viti më parë dhe me -4,1%, në krahasim me Qershor 2024. Importet e mallrave arritën vlerën 85 mld lekë, duke u rritur me 21,1%, në krahasim me një vit më parë dhe 11,5%, në krahasim me Qershor 2024. Defiçiti tregtar i këtij muaji është 52 mld lekë, duke u rritur me 59,6%, krahasuar me Korrik 2023 dhe 24,3%, në krahasim me Qershor 2024.
Ulen eksportet me Italinë dhe Spanjën
In the month of July 2024, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in exports, compared to July 2023, are: Italy (9.0%), Spain (53.4%), North Macedonia (8.7% ), etc. While the countries with which exports have had the greatest increase are: Kosovo (9.8%), Greece (0.3%), Germany (0.8%), etc.
During this seven-month period, the countries with which Albania had the biggest decrease in exports, compared to a year ago, are: Italy (14.1%), Greece (21.6%), Germany (11.9%) , etc. While the countries with which exports have had the greatest growth are: Kosovo (0.1%), China (25.7%), etc.
In July 2024, the countries with which Albania had the largest increase in imports are: Italy (5.7%), China (29.6%), Turkey (19.9%), etc. While the countries with which imports have had the biggest decrease are: USA (5.2%), Spain (8.3%), Croatia (13.0%), etc.
During this seven-month period, the countries with which Albania had the largest increase in imports, compared to a year ago, are: Turkey (17.1%), Greece (19.3%), Germany (6.0% ), etc. While the countries with which imports have had the biggest decrease are: Italy (2.9%), China (3.7%), North Macedonia (9.4%), etc.
Trade exchanges with EU countries account for 56.9% of all trade. In July 2024, exports to EU countries account for 71.8% of total exports and imports from EU countries account for 51.1% of total imports. The main trading partners are: Italy (28.1%), China (9.2%), Greece (7.3%) and Turkey (6.3%).
Trade exchanges, for the first seven months of 2024, with EU countries account for 57.9% of all trade. In the period January - July 2024, exports to EU countries account for 71.5% of total exports and imports from EU countries account for 51.9% of total imports. The main trade partners are: Italy (28.6%), Turkey (8.2%), China (7.7%) and Greece (7.3%)./Monitor
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