FLASH
Shkruar nga Roberto Domini
According to an alarming report, the risk of civil conflict in the next five years is 18.5%. Is this the beginning of the end for European stability?
Professor David Betz of King's College London identifies a worrying convergence of three structural factors that are pushing Western Europe towards scenarios of civil conflict unseen since the aftermath of World War II. The three pillars of the crisis are:
Identity polarization: Divisions are no longer based on political or ideological grounds, but on incompatible identities. For example, in Great Britain, a Muslim political movement has emerged that deals only with international issues such as Gaza, ignoring the country's domestic politics. This situation undermines the functioning of liberal democracy, as it makes political compromise impossible.
Demographic decline of indigenous populations: According to projections, indigenous populations will become minorities in several European countries within a generation (in Britain by 2060). This change is perceived as a "cultural replacement" orchestrated by post-national elites, rather than a natural development. This creates a gap between the political class and the popular will.
Loss of institutional trust: Politicians, the media, the police, the judiciary, the church, and the health sector have lost widespread public trust. Trust in politicians has fallen to rock-bottom levels, compromising the ability of the democratic system to resolve conflicts peacefully.
According to Betz, there are two possible scenarios: either a nationalist revolt against post-national elites in the form of covert warfare and assassinations, or urban violence between the native population and newcomers. The annual probability of civil conflict is estimated at 4%, while within five years it reaches 18.5%.
The French case as a model of crisis France clearly reflects the institutional crisis. The "Bloquons tout" campaign brought together extremely opposing forces such as the Rassemblement National and La France Insoumise, winning together 325 of the 577 seats in parliament. The resignation of Prime Minister Bayrou after the shortest mandate in republican history is a sign of extreme instability. According to the analysis, European politics is strongly influenced by American neoconservative groups and global finance. The change at the head of the World Economic Forum, with BlackRock's Larry Fink replacing Klaus Schwab, symbolizes the union between high finance and the pharmaceutical industry in global decision-making control.
Europe on the brink of cognitive war
The convergence of the above factors creates the terrain for civil conflicts unimaginable since 1945. Italy presents the most sensitive case, due to its geostrategic position and internal divisions. North-south tensions could undermine national unity, and its dependence on the European economy makes it even more fragile.
Civil conflicts will undermine Europe's role as a global actor. Social phenomena increasingly appear as spectacles on social networks, where the goal is visibility, not political results. This will be instrumentalized by the centers of power, which channel popular anger into controlled protests that have no real impact.
According to Betz, Europe risks becoming the victim of a "cognitive war", which is being waged not from the outside, but from within. A totalitarian strategy that aims to create subjugated populations not only politically, but also ideologically. The World Economic Forum, now in the hands of Larry Fink, represents the model of technocratic power that, through technology and psychological manipulation, aims to turn into a global "shadow government".
Elections will become political marketing and popular will something empty. Social media algorithms deepen divisions, giving priority to divisive narratives. Digital societies lose the capacity for critical thinking and collective mobilization.
Italy clearly illustrates the consequences of this war: territorial fragmentation deepened by technologies, the destruction of the family as a social structure, and the creation of individuals psychologically dependent on digital platforms. This weakens society's capacity for resistance and autonomy.
Security systems are forced to protect societies that no longer have the "cultural antibodies" to manipulation. In compensation, state surveillance and control are strengthened, creating a cycle where control produces passivity, and citizens become dependent on external protection.
cONcluSiON
Western Europe is facing a structural crisis: identity polarization, the decline of the indigenous population, and a decline in trust in institutions. These, together with the rise of technocratic powers and cognitive warfare strategies, are undermining the foundations of national cohesion and democratic stability. The risk of Europe becoming a laboratory of technological and psychological control is real. The urgent challenge is to preserve social cohesion and strengthen democratic institutions. / Adapted from "Pamphlet" by "Inside Over"
*Domini commanded the ship Mogano, the Italian contingent in Sinai and the naval bases of Venice and Augusta. He attended the Royal Navy Naval Staff College in Greenwich (London) and served as Defence Attaché at the Italian Embassy in Zagreb. He has taught naval strategy and naval history for a long time at the Institute of Naval Warfare in Livorno and at the Institute of Military and Naval Studies in Venice. He is president of CESMAR (Centre for Studies on Geopolitics and Naval Strategy "Circolo Fratelli Bonaldi").
Lini një Përgjigje