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Analysts in Serbia think that the West was not too harsh in its criticism of Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić for the numerous manipulations of the December 17 election process in Serbia.
They think that the Serbian president is expected after the end of the year holidays, but they emphasize that the Western partners are playing pragmatically, considering that Vučić is still the only player who can finish the issue with Kosovo.
"It can be concluded that the West is still very tolerant of the president of Serbia [Aleksandar Vucic], that it expects him to fulfill his promises regarding the European plan around Kosovo after the formation of the government and that they do not want to push him until then. After all, they didn't bother him for years while he was building an autocracy in Serbia", says foreign policy commentator Boshko Jakšič in an interview for the Voice of America [Serbian edition] and recalls that after the departure of former chancellor Angela Merkel, Vucic was left without a strong partner in Berlin and that today it is much more difficult with the coalition of leftists and greens that leads the politics of Germany.
"It is clear that at this stage Serbia's relations with the West are the worst with Germany, and this could be assumed immediately after the formation of the new German government, because the Greens, who have the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, were great opponents of Vučić's regime, even when Angela Merkel was in power", adds Jakšič.
According to him, Analena Berbock has remained loyal to the policy she made while she was in the opposition and now, after becoming the head of the German Foreign Ministry, she has continued with that policy and it is logical, as Jakšić says, that they will be even more irritated. relations on the Berlin-Belgrade line.
Deutsche Welle reporter Dragoslav Dedovic is not surprised that there hasn't been much Western criticism of what was seen during Serbia's Dec. 17 election.
As he said, there has been too much continuity of looking through fingers for Aleksandar Vučić over the last decade and now it is difficult to change that overnight.
"In the countries of the so-called spin-democracies, turns happen with the will of a man and his media campaigns within 24 hours. This does not happen overnight in countries with serious institutions, or confederations like the EU. But this will happen if the theft and election management by the ruling party in Serbia is proven. I think there will be consequences, it will take those consequences, and the EU's foreign policy will not only register it, it will register it as a severe reversal in relations with a country that claims to be on the road to accession to the EU", believes Dedovic.
He believes that in Germany, even after the time of Angela Merkel, the policy continued that only the autocrat can finish the issue with Kosovo, but even in Berlin and in general in the West they no longer consider Vučić as a serious partner and that they pose a serious question - especially after the events in Banjska - the president of Serbia still seriously controls the situation in the country.
"I think that Aleksandar Vučić, with this kind of electoral management that is so evident, has overdone his hand in the sense that with all the logistics and the millions of euros he has invested, he has not even been able to hide it well", adds Dedović.
Serbian analysts disagree with the assessment that Western criticism of what happened in the elections in Serbia should be expected only after the Christmas and New Year holidays, when the political machinery heats up again.
According to them, the Western partners are playing pragmatically, considering that Vucic is still the only player who can finish the issue with Kosovo.
According to Boshko Jakšić, when the European emissary for Kosovo, Miroslav Lajčak, stated that at the end of January, a breakthrough in the dialogue between Belgrade and Pristina can be expected - he said this considering some information that the public still does not know.
According to him, this is the reason why there were no serious comments from the West about everything that happened in the elections in Serbia and Belgrade.
"I think it is about pragmatism as we have been able to witness so far, so this content is not random and cannot be justified by the Christmas holidays, but it is an accepted diplomatic position and approach regarding Vucic to save him what, I repeat, he must do something for Kosovo soon. And this is the acceptance of the so-called Soltz-Macron plan," believes Boshko Jakšič.
In the opinion of Dragoslav Dedovic, the great credit that Vucic received in connection with the previous dialogue with Pristina and during the migrant crisis in 2015 is melting fast.
"He did everything as Germany wanted. So he did not create a problem in any case and that loan he got there – he spent it on the internal political plan to strengthen the autocratic tendencies. I guess that wasn't smart of him, there will be a bill for that too, but that's just a fact. That he, consolidating his power, crossed the invisible line between personal autocratic tendencies and a point of no return, where a society has the problem of authoritarianism," Dedovic believes.
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