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Max Verstappen's repeated statements, in which he leaves open the possibility of a quiet departure from Formula 1 at the end of 2026, are being seen as the main factor that could destabilize the driver market for the coming seasons. At present, it remains unclear whether these statements are a genuine stance or a reaction to the lack of competitiveness of Red Bull's RB22 car.
The four-time world champion has raised questions over his future, fueling speculation in the paddock.
Verstappen has a long-term contract with Red Bull and is one of the highest-paid drivers in Formula 1. His statements could be a form of pressure on the team for better performance.
The 2026 season is expected to be decisive for some of the biggest names:
Lewis Hamilton – could continue with Ferrari or consider retiring.
Fernando Alonso – ends his contract with Aston Martin and must decide on his future.
Carlos Sainz – in dilemma between staying at Williams or a new transfer.
If Verstappen stays at Red Bull, few major changes are expected. Otherwise, his departure would cause a domino effect throughout the transfer market.
Possible movement scenarios
Max Verstappen – could leave due to dissatisfaction with the new cars.
Franco Colapinto – at risk due to performance, although his weight in marketing remains significant.
Approaches
Nikola Tsolov – seen as a promising talent for Racing Bulls.
Yuki Tsunoda – could return to the scene with a possible move to Has, with support from Toyota.
Controversial movements
Esteban Ocon – rumored to be moving to Williams.
Carlos Sainz – potential candidate for a place at Red Bull in case Verstappen leaves.
Arvid Lindblad – surprise name to replace Vershtap, despite limited experience.
Alex Albon – could move to Alpine, depending on other developments.
According to the Spanish newspaper "MARCA":
Verstappen is expected to stay at Red Bull, a stance also supported by statements from his father.
Lewis Hamilton intends to continue with Ferrari, with the goal of winning an eighth world title.
A move for Hamilton to Red Bull is only considered possible in the event of a sudden departure of Verstappen.
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