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If the city falls into the hands of Russian forces, what will be the strategic consequences for Ukraine?
Ukraine is urging the civilian population in its eastern city of Pokrovsk to evacuate as Russian troops are closing in on its outskirts.
One of the most frequent questions to military experts is what will happen if Russia invades Pokrovsky.
How serious is the situation in this city? If the city falls into the hands of Russian forces, what will be the strategic consequences for Ukraine?
Military analyst Sean Bell says it is very difficult to speak with certainty on the tactical progress of the war given the relative lack of detailed information on progress, challenges and opportunities.
However, it appears that Vladimir Putin's short-term objective for his "special military operation" is to secure Crimea, Donbass and the land bridge between the two areas.
Russia's main effort seems to have been to secure the final component of Donbas, and despite the high casualty count (more than 1,000 casualties per day), Russia continues to make slow but steady progress.
Pokrovsk is a strategically important logistics and transportation hub for Ukrainian forces in the region, and Russian forces are now reported to be only six miles from the city, prompting Ukrainians to evacuate the civilian population.
The Russian president knows that it is very difficult to make this same progress during the winter months, so he has perhaps 10 to 12 weeks available to achieve his goals.
If Russian forces can capture Pokrovsk before winter, Putin will likely show that he is ready to negotiate for peace and end the conflict.
Depending on the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election, this raises the possibility that Putin will be rewarded for his brutal invasion of Ukraine, which would have profound implications for global security./ Adapted "Pamphlet" , from "Sky News" .
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