FLASH
Shkruar nga Mentor Kikia
It is understandable that the division of the opposition vote favors the SP, which sums up the entire pro-government vote, maximizing the power it produces.
The political puzzle has become really "interesting". The number of parties that are in opposition continues to increase. The PD MPs, who after being separated from Berisha, also separated from Basha, were organized into a new party. Basha himself has not announced any official movement, but his political commitment continues under the slogan "Euro-Atlantic Democrats".
The Socialists of Edi Rama do not share the campaign and power with any party. The SP absorbed its 2013 election allies and the PSD, although a separate logo, is a sub-branch of it. In the opposition camp, there are at least 7 parties. PD has three allies PL+PAA+PR around it (although it has not yet determined the cooperation formula). While in the field are also Agron Shehaj's "Opportunity", Arlind Qori's "Bashke", Adriatik Lapaj's "Alshqiperia Bëhet", Endri Shabani and Pano Soko's "Nisma Thurje", "Djathtas 2012", still without a leader, but alleged of Enkelejd Alibeaj, and Basha with "Euroaltantike Democrats". So there are 6 new groups, which are both against Rama, also against Berisha, and against each other.
Apart from "Albania Becomes" and "Nisma Thurje", which are getting closer, the others exclude so far any possibility of cooperation with the SP, DP and each other. They are divided into philosophies and interests. So by now the ballot will have at least 8 parties. We will not have SP, DP and a third party, but a party ensemble, all against all.
It is understandable that the division of the opposition vote favors the SP, which sums up the entire pro-government vote, maximizing the power it produces. All opposition parties may receive more votes than the majority in total, but these votes will not be able to produce more mandates, due to fragmentation.
The new parties seem that in their first debut in the general elections of 2025, they are more interested in the presentation of their logos than in the fact where the power will go. "I am more interested in the number of votes than the number of deputies" - said Agron Shehaj in a televised debate. Realistically, these parties do not see themselves in power in 2025, but in the meantime they are determined not to support the return of Berisha. Thus, they seem to be waiting for the reconfirmation of the SP in power and the final removal of Berisha from control over the opposition. With the departure of Berisha, the race will open for who will be the opposition. But also, after the departure of Berisha, the dialectic says that it is Rama's turn, and the new parties hope that after this, the approach of the partner countries towards the socialist government and Rama personally and his 4th mandate will change. it may not go all the way. And then it will be their time…
PD and Berisha know this approach and have intensified the accusations, calling the new parties Rama's creatures. Berisha even ordered a few days ago that the PD MPs should not engage in debates with the "opposition of the opposition" parties.
If this is a political strategy, the first part of the plan, that of confirming the SP in power, can work. But the second part, more than a feasible plan, looks like a Russian roulette, where the risk seems as possible as the victory.
PS:
This analysis is based on the positions and statements of many of the new parties, as far as the cooperation for participation in the 2025 elections is concerned.
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