FLASH
Shkruar nga Sadri Ramabaja
The new Cold War is causing regional powers to clash over their spheres of interest. In this framework, political Albania and the Republic of Kosovo, only by moving towards the creation of the Albanian Federation as the shield of the national interest, will ensure our stability and prosperity as a nation.
The return of geopolitics is happening at the same time as the new Cold War, which is being characterized by outbreaks in "hot" areas of the type of proxy wars [the case of Ukraine, that in the East of Meme - Gaza], heated tensions in other areas [ the Balkans, Western Asia, Iran…], the disregard of international norms, the full return to the arms race on a broad scale, with an emphasis between the USA on the one hand and great powers such as China and North Korea for the Indo-Pacific and Russia and Eurasia on the other hand...
Putin's Russia's claim that within days, eventually weeks, it would bring Ukraine entirely back within its spectrum, consistent with Russian geopolitical interests, did not take into account the US's willingness to drag Russia into a war-trap of long, which would justify its immersion in the new arms race and long-term confrontation with Western Europe.
In the process of geopolitical recovery, there was an urgent need to break out the war in Ukraine, in order to stop the Russian march towards Eurasia.
The end of the Cold War with the victory of the liberal democracies in the face of Russian-style socialism, however much it had created the enthusiasm about the "end of history", namely the promotion, not without fanfare, of the unipolarity that for three decades would be led by the USA, in essence a large gray area had also appeared.
In this area, "states moved from pro-US foreign policy or clearly anti-US foreign policy, albeit limited, to a more independent foreign policy."
In this turning point of the return of geopolitics, in addition to China as the main challenger of the USA, several regional powers that challenge American dominance in different parts of the globe and maintain friendly relations with China appear on the scene. In this case, India occupies a central place, but regional powers such as Turkey, Iran, North Korea, South Africa, Brazil are not left behind...
In its efforts to fully return to the world stage as a superpower, Russia plays all the levers possible, for the realization of its ambitions. India, Iran and Turkey are not far behind it.
Iran reappears to us again with its nuclear ambitions and the weight it claims to impose in the Middle East through the provocation of the war in Gaza, as well as the open support of Huthi in Yemen.
But, while many scholars believe that this return of geopolitics is based on the American arms race and the growing tensions with China, it is simultaneously promoting the new Cold War that is causing clashes between regional powers over their spheres of interest that simultaneously challenge American hegemony.
The war in Ukraine imposed a change in dynamics
While the Cold War referred to the power competition and arms race between the two superpowers – the USA and the USSR, the return to geopolitics and the promotion of the new Cold War is a huge undertaking and includes new challengers such as China, Russia, India, Turkey, Iran... who seek to promote a new world order.
In this new world order, according to them, the role of the US and the West in general would be much more limited than they have in the current order.
The end of the Second World War [LDW] was revealing on the new political stage its two defining winners – the USA and the USSR. Those people, at the beginning of the Cold War, who were promoting the creation of two military blocs, had the ideology [confronting liberal democracy with Russian-type communism]. The new Cold War is generally based on geopolitical and geoeconomic interests, which have no ideological orientation at all. Meanwhile, there are voices from the milieu of American political thought, that the battle for a new world order is also based on the ideological clash that is based on the American-style democracy against the authoritarianism of China, Russia or Iran. However, experts from other parts of the globe do not see this as an ideological competition, as American foreign policy does not always promote democracy.
From the end of the LDB to the fall of the Iron Curtain in Berlin [1989], which also marked the end of the Cold War, the intensity of proxy wars at the planetary level was lower; he could not risk a clash between the nuclear superpowers.
The outbreak of war in Ukraine and Russia's failure to quickly and completely subjugate Ukraine has imposed other dynamics on the global plane. Consequently, the intensity of conflict between competitors in the new Cold War is likely to be higher due to the localized nature of the conflicts.
The outbreak of war in the process of the disintegration of Yugoslavia seems to have been the prologue of this new confrontation between the superpowers. NATO's intervention in that world to stop the deepening of the genocide in Bosnia and Kosovo, that is, not to prevent it, also had as its objective the moral justification of such an enterprise that would limit the role of Russia further in the Balkans.
Meanwhile, Russia's plunge today into a new war, in Ukraine, anyway with many unknowns, however much it would be in Putin's interest to produce a series of explosions in different parts of the planet, this conflict is heading for a long-term conflict between Europe and Russia.
During the new dynamics that may arise in this process of restoring geopolitics, and with it the promotion of the new Cold War, any conflict between the US and China will be limited exclusively to the Indo-Pacific region. But, while during the Cold War [1947-1989] a kind of balance and "understanding" was reached for the division of the spheres of interest, the rapid development of technology today in the proportions of a Cyber War, which is the hallmark of the new War Cold, it makes the encounter challenging for all participants.
But, just like in the era of the Cold War and the confrontation between the two world blocs [USA-USSR], even today at the beginning of the new Cold War, the confrontation between the nuclear powers will be done as much as possible to avoid.
This intention to avoid such a confrontation is also clearly read in the Pope's reaction, when he calls on Ukraine to raise the white flag and start peace talks, even on the condition that I lose territory. Any direct war in the age of globalization will cost them on the economic front as well.
Unlike the Cold War period, when the American and Soviet blocs were demarcated, while the global economy was far from integrated, the new Cold War is promoting the high impact of the use of US sanctions against US regional competitors, as the power economic and its dominance in world markets, American experts judge, plays a major role in the global world./ Pamphlet
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