FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
One thing is certain, any extreme event that may occur in the Middle East on the day the US election is held, will directly affect the outcome of the election.
The killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar removed one of the main obstacles to reaching an agreement on the release of Israeli hostages, held since October 7 last year. But pledges by both Israel and Hamas to continue fighting in Gaza have dashed hopes that Sinwar's death would hasten the war's end.
However, the US has said it will redouble its pressure on Israel to reach an agreement to end the war and release the hostages. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu plans to hold a special meeting with his ministers to discuss hostage negotiations following the killing of Yahya Sinwar. Many Israelis, who fear what Sinwar's killing could mean for the remaining hostages, have urged the government to seize the opportunity to reach out and take them home.
It is unclear when the meeting will take place or what exactly will be discussed, but one thing is certain, the US will push hard for a peace deal or at least a ceasefire of several weeks.
The reasons why the US would rush to force Israel to undertake a ceasefire are the presidential elections. An active war in the Middle East on election day could easily sway voters.
On November 5th, all Americans will go to the polls to choose who will govern them for the next 4 years. Israel's war in Gaza and Lebanon has prompted a major backlash in the US against supporting Israel. In some cases, American activists have even accused the Biden administration of financing a genocide in Gaza.
Under these conditions, the Democratic Party led by President Biden will use everything they have to stop the war and give a hand to their candidate Kamala Harris who is in a close race with former President Donald Trump .
In the US, there are approximately 4.5 million Muslims who, on the day of the polls, can make the difference in determining the next US president. On the other hand, 7.5 million Israeli-Americans live in the USA, and this is also a factor that can influence the November 5 elections.
Under these conditions, for the US this is the perfect moment to intervene strongly and establish at least a temporary peace in the region. Muslims who support Gaza would have a hope that the war would end. The pro-Netanyahu Israelis would be satisfied with a pause after the elimination of the Hamas leader, while the anti-Netanyahu Israelis would rejoice at the fact that the US is imposing conditions on the Prime Minister of Israel.
All that being said, conditions are favorable for a ceasefire. How much power the US will have to influence its "disobedient" man (Netanyahu) to end the war, everything remains to be seen. But one thing is certain, any extreme event that may happen in the Middle East, on the day the US elections are held, will directly affect the outcome of the elections./ Pamphlet
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